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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 21.6 | $0.094 | $2.03 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.2 |
| $0.390 |
| $2.03 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?Yes | buy | 77 | $0.080 | $6.16 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.410 | $6.15 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 28.09 | $0.330 | $9.27 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | sell | 84.41 | $0.110 | $9.29 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 12.09 | $0.220 | $2.66 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | sell | 63.81 | $0.042 | $2.66 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 27.27 | $0.110 | $3 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by July 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.070 | $4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 53.5 | $0.054 | $2.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 26.7 | $0.100 | $2.67 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 15?Yes | buy | 5.86 | $0.080 | $0.47 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 15.77 | $0.130 | $2.05 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | sell | 16.95 | $0.121 | $2.05 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | buy | 6.95 | $0.430 | $2.99 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12?Yes | buy | 19.45 | $0.109 | $2.12 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?Yes | sell | 25.42 | $0.002 | $0.05 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?Yes | buy | 25.42 | $0.118 | $3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes | sell | 22.22 | $0.160 | $3.56 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 41.7 | $0.180 | $7.51 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 11.71 | $0.170 | $1.99 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 12?Yes | buy | 30.52 | $0.077 | $2.35 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 14?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | sell | 101.97 | $0.023 | $2.35 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 27.98 | $0.036 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9?Yes | buy | 23.03 | $0.087 | $2 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 40.67 | $0.060 | $2.44 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 38.51 | $0.167 | $6.42 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.102 | $10.02 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.300 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.500 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.590 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 68.03 | $0.147 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 68.49 | $0.146 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.76 | $0.740 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 14.86 | $0.710 | $10.55 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.585 | $11.93 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 5.02 | $0.630 | $3.16 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.650 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.240 | $2.18 | Jun 7, 2026 |