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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | sell | 664.65 | $0.040 | $26.59 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 236.17 |
| $0.150 |
| $35.43 |
| Jul 1, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 114.29 | $0.070 | $8 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 750 | $0.011 | $8.25 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.012 | $9 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 236.18 | $0.169 | $40 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 550.37 | $0.055 | $30 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.011 | $11.92 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 440.71 | $0.152 | $67.17 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.012 | $13 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.170 | $50 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?Yes | sell | 117.09 | $0.015 | $1.76 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?Yes | sell | 128.2 | $0.032 | $4.07 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.056 | $56.99 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani arrested before September?Yes | buy | 117.1 | $0.043 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump deport Elon Musk in 2025?Yes | buy | 128.21 | $0.039 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | sell | 1.98K | $0.012 | $24.64 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 41.18 | $0.170 | $7 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 684.06 | $0.011 | $7.52 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | buy | 127.66 | $0.047 | $6 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | buy | 128.98 | $0.047 | $6 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 US forces in Iran before August?Yes | sell | 654.59 | $0.017 | $11.09 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.012 | $3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 105.41 | $0.161 | $17 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 325.06 | $0.015 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | buy | 363.79 | $0.014 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 214.29 | $0.070 | $15 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | buy | 565.69 | $0.009 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 652.92 | $0.015 | $10 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| US forces in Iran before August?Yes | buy | 654.59 | $0.021 | $14 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 686.27 | $0.015 | $10 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 171.43 | $0.070 | $12 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 81.29 | $0.150 | $12.19 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.070 | $4 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.170 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 187.5 | $0.016 | $3 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.016 | $2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.010 | $11.62 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.014 | $5 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.140 | $6 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before August?Yes | sell | 42.85 | $0.254 | $10.87 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.150 | $4 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran before August?Yes | sell | 235.51 | $0.020 | $4.77 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.013 | $15 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran before August?Yes | buy | 235.52 | $0.064 | $15 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before August?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.350 | $15 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 357.14 | $0.070 | $25 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.62K | $0.016 | $25.9 | Jun 30, 2025 |