Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will The Fate of Ophelia (Taylor Swift) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | Yes | 50 | $0.150 | $2.75 | -$4.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?No | sell | 17 | $0.730 | $12.41 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 0.99 |
| $0.760 |
| $0.72 |
| -$0.03 |
 Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? | No | 0.49 | $0.790 | $0.35 | -$0.04 |
| sell |
| 40 |
| $0.230 |
| $9.2 |
| 1h ago |
 Will Kathy Hochul win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | 2h ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.085 | $1.7 | 3h ago |
 Jack Barton announced as next James Bond?No | sell | 50 | $0.883 | $44.17 | 1d ago |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.125 | $2.5 | 1d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the LA-06 House seat?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 1d ago |
 Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.680 | $0.44 | 2d ago |
 IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | sell | 0.7 | $0.860 | $0.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.830 | $0.24 | 2d ago |
 Will Rebecca Schillemat win the 2026 Peterborough mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.160 | $0.2 | 2d ago |
 Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | 2d ago |
| IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?No | sell | 15 | $0.860 | $12.9 | 2d ago |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | 2d ago |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.035 | $1.05 | 2d ago |
| Will Badr bin Hamad Al Busaidi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.820 | $14.76 | 2d ago |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by February 28, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.730 | $14.6 | 3d ago |
 Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.770 | $38.5 | 3d ago |
 Will Democrats win exactly 2 House seats in Alabama in the 2026 midterm elections?No | sell | 20 | $0.810 | $16.2 | 3d ago |
 Will Xiaomi be added to the Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | 3d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 39 | $0.680 | $26.51 | 3d ago |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.35 | $0.740 | $0.26 | 3d ago |
| Will "End of Beginning – Djo" be the #2 song for 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.790 | $39.5 | 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | 3d ago |
| Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.951 | $28.53 | 4d ago |
 Will the PCQ win 11-13 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No | sell | 20 | $0.750 | $15 | 4d ago |
| Will the next Sonnet model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.116 | $5.8 | 5d ago |
 Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Gemini Flash model (3.8+) debut as #1? (Text Arena)Yes | sell | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | 8d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 60% or higher?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.140 | $2.8 | 8d ago |
 Will Michael Bush win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.001 | $0.06 | 11d ago |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.006 | $0.55 | 11d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Mark Carney by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.070 | $1.46 | 11d ago |
 Will Sudan join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.050 | $1.05 | 11d ago |
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | 11d ago |
 Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.068 | $3.4 | 11d ago |
 Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 49 | $0.034 | $1.67 | 11d ago |
 Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.090 | $1.89 | 11d ago |
 Will there be between 35 and 39 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.170 | $3.57 | 11d ago |
 Will Russia enter Moskovka by September 30?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.250 | $5.25 | 11d ago |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.052 | $2.6 | 11d ago |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | 11d ago |
| Will Warsh be out as Fed Chair by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.037 | $3.74 | 11d ago |
 Will Pete Hegseth attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.87 | $0.080 | $2.79 | 11d ago |
 Will the median home value in NYC be at least $689,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 5.69 | $0.371 | $2.11 | 11d ago |
| Will the median home value in the DC Metro be less than $512,000 on September 30?Yes | sell | 0.98 | $0.130 | $0.13 | 12d ago |
 Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.220 | $0.22 | 12d ago |
| Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.190 | $2.09 | 12d ago |
 Will Eno Umo Bassey win the 2027 Akwa Ibom State gubernatorial election?No | sell | 40 | $0.150 | $6 | 13d ago |
| Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.230 | $4.6 | 13d ago |