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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 | |
| buy |
| 62.5 |
| $0.160 |
| $10 |
| Dec 15, 2025 |
| buy | 103 | $0.097 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| buy | 201.28 | $0.050 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| buy | 30 | $0.050 | $1.5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| sell | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | buy | 28.33 | $0.120 | $3.4 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.76 | $0.350 | $1.67 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.400 | $1.74 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| buy | 292.35 | $0.017 | $4.97 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will anyone say "Public transport" 3+ times during 2nd NYC mayoral debate on October 22?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 19, 2025 |
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 27.77 | $0.065 | $1.81 | Oct 17, 2025 |
Will "Good Fortune" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 12m?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.75-4.00 in September?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will a dozen eggs be between $3.50-3.75 in September?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 14-20?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Fox News have its Pentagon press pass revoked by December 31 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Shutdown" or "Shut Down" during ballroom dinner on October 15?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Rose Garden" during ballroom dinner on October 15?Yes | buy | 127.47 | $0.785 | $100 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during ballroom dinner on October 15?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will no leader be out in 2025?Yes | sell | 90.9 | $0.017 | $1.55 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 750 | $0.123 | $92.25 | Oct 15, 2025 |
Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will “Ruth & Boaz” be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 14.62 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Powell say "Money" during speech on October 14?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.999 | $2 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 100 and 110 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.083 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 7.19 | $0.504 | $3.62 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will “Other” be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 24.62 | $0.041 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will “KPop Demon Hunters” be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 362 | $0.003 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 7 to October 14, 2025?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be under 300k?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?Yes | sell | 47.61 | $0.023 | $1.1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be 600k or more?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 7.19 | $0.139 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 17?Yes | buy | 8.55 | $0.117 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 9PM ETUp | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - October 13, 8PM ETDown | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 14?Yes | buy | 3.86 | $0.259 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will no leader be out in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Oct 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Ceasefire" during Egypt summit?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 23-26?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 19-22?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will the Government shutdown end October 15-18Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase October 14-20?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Oct 13, 2025 |