Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?Yes | sell | 7.56K | $0.013 | $101.54 | Jan 27, 2026 |
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Chief-Irony is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #69,507 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$1.38K observed lifetime PnL, 90 distinct markets, 38 resolved positions, a 44.7% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0x2938916bc4009581677a9451fe3ac30d811bf251
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 1.51K |
| $0.788 |
| $1.19K |
| Jan 25, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.049 | $50 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?Yes | sell | 1.42K | $0.978 | $1.39K | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-24?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.750 | $1.07K | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ARCRED (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageGenOne | sell | 841.11 | $0.999 | $840.27 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Counter-Strike: GenOne vs ARCRED (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageGenOne | buy | 841.11 | $0.706 | $593.69 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?Yes | buy | 1.33K | $0.043 | $57.18 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.042 | $4.2 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?Yes | buy | 2.99K | $0.033 | $100 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.5K | $0.320 | $1.12K | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101?No | buy | 553 | $0.070 | $38.71 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.027 | $38.71 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.43K | $0.035 | $50.15 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes | sell | 8.23K | $0.006 | $50.15 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 600.83 | $0.179 | $107.77 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 243.73 | $0.065 | $15.8 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | sell | 428.27 | $0.010 | $4.3 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?Yes | buy | 23.97K | $0.003 | $71.92 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.7K | $0.012 | $44.45 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by January 31?Yes | sell | 1.07K | $0.012 | $13.02 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.71K | $0.019 | $71.57 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?Yes | sell | 20K | $0.003 | $60 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes | sell | 75.4 | $0.046 | $3.44 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $40 by end of January?Yes | sell | 1.36K | $0.006 | $8.13 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | buy | 80.29 | $0.010 | $0.8 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | buy | 1.74K | $0.009 | $15.7 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | sell | 812.04 | $0.150 | $121.81 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes | buy | 3.29K | $0.020 | $67.1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?Yes | sell | 2.92K | $0.023 | $67.1 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31?Yes | buy | 4.94K | $0.016 | $80.58 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | sell | 7.02K | $0.011 | $80.58 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 812.04 | $0.230 | $186.77 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.5K | $0.286 | $1K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | sell | 4.4K | $0.270 | $1.19K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?Yes | buy | 4.4K | $0.285 | $1.25K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.005 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.14K | $0.430 | $1.35K | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes | buy | 75.41 | $0.037 | $2.79 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | buy | 5.02K | $0.012 | $58 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.44K | $0.017 | $41.45 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 666.66 | $0.029 | $19.33 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.16K | $0.070 | $151.29 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.130 | $130 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.150 | $150 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.8K | $0.026 | $47.01 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 357.14 | $0.351 | $125.28 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.8K | $0.066 | $117.86 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.