Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | Yes | 122.5 | $0.024 | $1.29 | -$1.71 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | 12d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 4.11 |
| $0.014 |
| $0.17 |
| +$0.11 |
 Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | Yes | 0.85 | $0.012 | $0.06 | +$0.05 |
 Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 4.29 | $0.013 | $0.06 | +$0 |
 Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 1.31 | $0.026 | $0.05 | +$0.02 |
 Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 0.37 | $0.024 | $0.01 | -$0 |
 Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 0.68 | $0.006 | $0.01 | +$0 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 1.99 | $0.005 | $0 | -$0.01 |
| sell |
| 100 |
| $0.002 |
| $0.2 |
| 12d ago |
 Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.003 | $0.02 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?Yes | sell | 9.99 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 9.98 | $0.019 | $0.19 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.012 | $0.15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.014 | $1.12 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Japan announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 370 | $0.003 | $1.11 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 375 | $0.002 | $0.75 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Frances Tiafoe win the 2026 Men's US Open?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.003 | $0.15 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Vinicius Junior join Paris Saint-Germain?Yes | sell | 140 | $0.003 | $0.42 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.011 | $2.31 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.019 | $0.95 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by August 31?Yes | sell | 97.84 | $0.013 | $1.27 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 3.97 | $0.003 | $0.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.75 | $0.024 | $0.21 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.027 | $0.27 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.013 | $0.1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.011 | $0.11 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will David Miliband be the next Foreign Secretary of the UK in 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.013 | $0.39 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be at least 2400 measles cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.012 | $0.48 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 20?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.012 | $0.48 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Moonshot have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.001 | $0.25 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will there be exactly 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 14 - July 19?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.002 | $0 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy booster?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.017 | $0.34 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.020 | $0.3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 The Open Championship?Yes | sell | 130 | $0.001 | $0.13 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.006 | $0.36 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Katie Britt announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 35.71 | $0.007 | $0.25 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.003 | $0.12 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | sell | 75 | $0.002 | $0.15 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Katie Boulter win the 2026 Women’s US Open?Yes | sell | 67.36 | $0.003 | $0.2 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.028 | $0.84 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 330 | $0.002 | $0.77 | Jun 12, 2026 |