Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.68K | $0.892 | $1.62K | +$117.31 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.070 | $14 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 200 |
| $0.830 |
| $166 |
| Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 199.53 | $0.351 | $70 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.590 | $118 | Mar 26, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of March?No | buy | 99.95 | $0.967 | $96.7 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?No | buy | 198.24 | $0.908 | $180 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of March?No | buy | 99.79 | $0.952 | $95 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?No | buy | 5K | $0.002 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 299.31 | $0.210 | $63 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 300.76 | $0.635 | $191 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?No | buy | 434.78 | $0.690 | $300 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 305.19 | $0.983 | $300 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.83 | $0.959 | $300 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.960 | $400 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.880 | $900 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 460.53 | $0.760 | $350 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?No | buy | 326.09 | $0.920 | $300 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.83 | $0.959 | $300 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 516.8 | $0.774 | $400 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 554.59 | $0.541 | $300 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 334.64 | $0.896 | $300 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 325.94 | $0.920 | $300 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?No | buy | 410.96 | $0.730 | $300 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 12, 2026?No | buy | 332.6 | $0.902 | $300 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 659.34 | $0.910 | $600 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the February meeting?Yes | buy | 336.34 | $0.892 | $300 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 337.08 | $0.890 | $300 | Jan 1, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 315.79 | $0.950 | $300 | Jan 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?No | buy | 338.3 | $0.940 | $318 | Nov 16, 2025 |
 Will no CEO be announced in 2025?Yes | buy | 262.71 | $0.963 | $253 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 318.47 | $0.942 | $300 | Nov 1, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 128.79 | $0.940 | $121.06 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.045 | $9 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.850 | $170 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 20.43 | $0.920 | $18.8 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Aug 24, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 2.37K | $0.930 | $2.2K | Aug 13, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 154.32 | $0.972 | $150 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by August 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.944 | $94.4 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Xi Jinping out before October?No | buy | 199.16 | $0.954 | $190 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.390 | $39 | Jul 30, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Jul 30, 2025 |
 Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.890 | $17.8 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Luís Montenegro be the next Prime Minister of Portugal after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 20.07 | $0.947 | $19 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Edi Rama be the next Prime Minister of Albania after the 2025 election?Yes | buy | 20.04 | $0.968 | $19.4 | May 9, 2025 |
 Will Barcelona win La Liga?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.900 | $20 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian presidential election?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.960 | $20 | May 4, 2025 |