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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Google have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 71.43 | $0.003 | $0.21 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 8.87 |
| $0.440 |
| $3.9 |
| Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 170.83 | $0.003 | $0.51 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?Yes | sell | 25.31 | $0.009 | $0.23 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 307.26 | $0.020 | $6.01 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | sell | 499.99 | $0.001 | $0.5 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% in 2025?No | sell | 55.55 | $0.997 | $55.39 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?No | sell | 15.95 | $0.960 | $15.31 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Plasma reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.623 | $12.45 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 US defaults on debt in 2025?No | sell | 101.01 | $0.994 | $100.39 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?No | sell | 54.89 | $0.940 | $51.6 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 28.08 | $0.120 | $3.37 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 78.02 | $0.001 | $0.08 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 160.61 | $0.010 | $1.61 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Up Only podcast released by December 31?Yes | sell | 43 | $0.023 | $0.98 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$14B one day after launch?No | sell | 103.09 | $0.990 | $102.08 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | sell | 500.5 | $0.997 | $499 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 270.27 | $0.450 | $121.62 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% in 2025?No | sell | 56.58 | $0.987 | $55.84 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again?No | sell | 46.05 | $0.667 | $30.69 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?No | sell | 26.17 | $0.983 | $25.73 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 845.63 | $0.996 | $842.25 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 254.47 | $0.510 | $129.78 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?No | sell | 509.16 | $0.996 | $507.12 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1K | $0.995 | $998.99 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek be the first company to have an AI model hit 1500 on Chatbot Arena by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 277.77 | $0.004 | $1.2 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% in 2025?No | sell | 20.32 | $0.992 | $20.16 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 21.5 | $0.700 | $15.05 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Let God Sort Em Out (Clipse Pusha T Malice) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Yes | sell | 54.04 | $0.271 | $14.66 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 29.69 | $0.030 | $0.89 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will 'Hollow Knight: Silksong' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?Yes | sell | 16.06 | $0.170 | $2.73 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast hit 460 Million subscribers by December 31?Yes | sell | 19.63 | $0.018 | $0.35 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.007 | $1.59 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | sell | 107.51 | $0.001 | $0.11 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Enhanced ACA premium tax credits extended in 2025?Yes | sell | 8.47 | $0.003 | $0.03 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?No | sell | 1.21K | $0.997 | $1.2K | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will SOL flip ETH in 2025?No | sell | 201.93 | $0.995 | $200.92 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?No | sell | 15.62 | $0.292 | $4.56 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 254.73 | $0.029 | $7.39 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Cade Cunningham win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | sell | 630.59 | $0.012 | $7.7 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?No | sell | 25.74 | $0.991 | $25.51 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | sell | 99.21 | $0.382 | $37.93 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 EdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?No | sell | 52.24 | $0.730 | $38.14 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Kabuto 1st Edition card hit $100 by December 31?Yes | sell | 95.14 | $0.630 | $59.94 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Pudgy Penguins floor price hit 30 ETH in 2025?No | sell | 101.31 | $0.992 | $100.5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Sam Altman in jail by December 31?No | sell | 100.81 | $0.970 | $97.79 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Opensea launch a token by December 31?No | sell | 152.19 | $0.992 | $150.97 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% in 2025?No | sell | 303.53 | $0.996 | $302.32 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Tether insolvent in 2025?No | sell | 656.42 | $0.993 | $651.54 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.180 | $2.31 | Dec 16, 2025 |