Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 389.79 | $0.590 | $230 | May 6, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 233.57 |
| $0.809 |
| $188.96 |
| May 6, 2026 |
 Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | sell | 172.41 | $0.159 | $27.36 | May 6, 2026 |
 UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 158.81 | $0.324 | $51.48 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?No | sell | 150.27 | $0.410 | $61.61 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 17°C on May 6?No | sell | 100 | $0.429 | $42.87 | May 6, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 33°C on May 6?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.277 | $6.93 | May 6, 2026 |
 Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?No | sell | 106.37 | $0.758 | $80.65 | May 6, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | sell | 128.2 | $0.650 | $83.33 | May 6, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?No | sell | 152 | $0.349 | $53.04 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on May 5?No | buy | 35 | $0.369 | $12.92 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | May 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No | buy | 128.21 | $0.390 | $50 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 55m?No | sell | 100 | $0.987 | $98.65 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?No | buy | 150.27 | $0.182 | $27.41 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?No | buy | 217.39 | $0.230 | $50 | May 3, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by June 30?No | sell | 111.86 | $0.675 | $75.55 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times at The Villages on May 1?No | buy | 109.01 | $0.459 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1?No | buy | 178.34 | $0.280 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Transgender" at The Villages on May 1?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will "Man on Fire: Season 1" be the top global Netflix show this week?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
| UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.300 | $30 | May 1, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by June 30?No | buy | 111.87 | $0.447 | $50 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?No | buy | 100.3 | $0.499 | $50 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 102.05 | $0.910 | $92.87 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | sell | 107 | $0.750 | $80.25 | Apr 26, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 24?No | buy | 102.96 | $0.503 | $51.78 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?No | buy | 107 | $0.470 | $50.29 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | sell | 205.58 | $0.089 | $18.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 108.67 | $0.443 | $48.1 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?No | sell | 30.77 | $0.716 | $22.05 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | sell | 40.81 | $0.638 | $26.05 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.92 | $0.397 | $38.51 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 134.21 | $0.110 | $14.76 | Apr 19, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 134.21 | $0.373 | $50 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?No | buy | 102.04 | $0.490 | $50 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?No | buy | 16.89 | $0.110 | $1.86 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Claude 4.7 be released on or prior to April 16, 2026?No | buy | 482.58 | $0.096 | $46.38 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 81.16 | $0.999 | $81.08 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 81.17 | $0.616 | $50 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 121.36 | $0.412 | $50 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.83 | $0.930 | $45.41 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 44 | $0.490 | $21.56 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.360 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 GPT-5.5 released by April 23, 2026?No | buy | 312.81 | $0.160 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 135.13 | $0.216 | $29.15 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 123.1 | $0.406 | $50 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.500 | $18.52 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 135.14 | $0.370 | $50 | Apr 10, 2026 |