Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
A complete provider position result is unavailable. Missing positions and amounts are not shown as zero holdings.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | 542.23 | $0.874 | $485.29 | +$11.3 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 339.37 | $0.884 | $300 | Aug 2, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 440.04 |
| $0.840 |
| $385.03 |
| +$15.4 |
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 339.37 | $0.884 | $315.44 | +$15.44 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 312.23 | $0.961 | $300.21 | +$0.21 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 161.85 | $0.926 | $156.43 | +$6.59 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | No | 160 | $0.720 | $144.8 | +$29.6 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 442.75 | $0.201 | $107.81 | +$18.62 |
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 117.65 | $0.850 | $101.77 | +$1.76 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | No | 104.48 | $0.670 | $80.97 | +$10.97 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 66.67 | $0.600 | $35.67 | -$4.33 |
| buy |
| 66.67 |
| $0.600 |
| $40 |
| Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 203.36 | $0.895 | $181.97 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 201.14 | $0.910 | $183.04 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 104.48 | $0.670 | $70 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Jul 17, 2026 |
France vs. England: Team to WinFrance | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 312.23 | $0.961 | $300 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 299.99 | $0.360 | $108 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 442.75 | $0.201 | $89.19 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.400 | $4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 40 | $0.920 | $36.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.200 | $2.4 | Jul 1, 2026 |
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Team to AdvanceUnited States | buy | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?No | buy | 342.23 | $0.877 | $300 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 201.15 | $0.870 | $175 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will Solana reach $90 in June?No | buy | 100 | $0.982 | $98.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Solana dip to $60 in June?No | buy | 33.24 | $0.869 | $28.89 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June?No | buy | 150 | $0.994 | $149.1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June?No | buy | 81.46 | $0.971 | $79.1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.720 | $115.2 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes | buy | 69.77 | $0.430 | $30 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.480 | $25 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.890 | $10 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 78.95 | $0.760 | $60 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 211.65 | $0.868 | $183.62 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 474.72 | $0.910 | $432 | Jun 20, 2026 |
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June?No | buy | 45 | $0.870 | $39.15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 709.52 | $0.238 | $168.87 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 549.45 | $0.910 | $500 | Jun 15, 2026 |
UFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)Mauricio Ruffy | buy | 14 | $0.800 | $11.2 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 138.88 | $0.910 | $126.38 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.590 | $354 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 187.5 | $0.969 | $181.69 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 94.26 | $0.814 | $76.75 | Jun 9, 2026 |
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.600 | $360 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 94.26 | $0.790 | $74.47 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 415.01 | $0.837 | $347.21 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 500 | $0.978 | $489 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 449.45 | $0.983 | $441.81 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No | sell | 350.55 | $0.982 | $344.26 | Jun 5, 2026 |
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.050 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes | sell | 154.92 | $0.830 | $128.58 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?No | buy | 100.6 | $0.994 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes | buy | 154.93 | $0.710 | $110 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Iran hold a presidential election by June 30?No | buy | 350.56 | $0.984 | $345 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 512.52 | $0.932 | $477.67 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 138.89 | $0.900 | $125 | May 25, 2026 |