Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | No | 350 | $0.350 | $120.75 | -$1.75 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 23h ago |
|
| No |
| 200.01 |
| $0.470 |
| $93 |
| -$1 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | No | 202.63 | $0.271 | $88.14 | +$33.14 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.360 | $85.5 | +$49.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | No | 199.99 | $0.171 | $81.1 | +$46.83 |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.380 | $72 | +$34 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.140 | $66.5 | +$52.5 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.430 | $64.5 | +$21.5 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | No | 50 | $0.740 | $45.25 | +$8.25 |
 Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | No | 59.26 | $0.685 | $41.78 | +$1.18 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 140 | $0.366 | $37.1 | -$14.1 |
 Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.160 | $32 | +$16 |
 Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.290 | $18.2 | +$6.6 |
 Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24? | No | 101.72 | $0.080 | $5.59 | -$2.54 |
 Next Kimi K model released by September 30, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.100 | $5 | -$5 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.060 | $4 | -$2 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by December 31, 2026? | No | 258.87 | $0.032 | $3.49 | -$4.68 |
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.270 | $3.45 | -$23.55 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time? | Yes | 5 | $0.270 | $2.35 | +$1 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | No | 100 | $0.050 | $2.25 | -$2.75 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | No | 103.99 | $0.039 | $2.18 | -$1.86 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.230 | $2.05 | -$20.95 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison? | Yes | 5 | $0.420 | $1.9 | -$0.2 |
| Next Kimi K model released by December 31, 2026? | No | 100 | $0.052 | $1.25 | -$3.95 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 20 and 40 years in prison? | Yes | 5 | $0.039 | $0.47 | +$0.27 |
| sell |
| 49.99 |
| $0.380 |
| $19 |
| 3d ago |
| Next Alibaba Qwen Max (3.9+) released by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 60 | $0.430 | $25.8 | 6d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?No | buy | 101.72 | $0.080 | $8.14 | 6d ago |
 Will GPT-6 be released by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 172.87 | $0.003 | $0.58 | 6d ago |
 Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?No | sell | 101.18 | $0.650 | $65.8 | 9d ago |
| Will Paddy Pimblett fight Charles Oliveira next?No | buy | 101.18 | $0.317 | $32.11 | 11d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | 11d ago |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | 14d ago |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?No | buy | 103.99 | $0.039 | $4.04 | 18d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | 19d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 101.01 | $0.750 | $75.76 | 19d ago |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 103.17 | $0.230 | $23.73 | 19d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.430 | $43 | 21d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.960 | $4.8 | 22d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | 22d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 14?No | sell | 19.74 | $0.999 | $19.72 | 25d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 14?No | sell | 19.98 | $0.999 | $19.96 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 100 | $0.983 | $98.3 | 26d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.360 | $36 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.610 | $61 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.161 | $16.1 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.900 | $89.99 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 5.03 | $0.770 | $3.87 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.140 | $14 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 21?Down | buy | 10 | $0.950 | $9.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on July 16?Down | buy | 26.53 | $0.400 | $10.61 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2AM ETDown | buy | 31.06 | $0.510 | $15.84 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 2AM ETDown | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 1AM ETDown | buy | 51.77 | $0.505 | $26.15 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 12AM ETDown | buy | 51.7 | $0.530 | $27.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 11PM ETDown | buy | 51.81 | $0.500 | $25.91 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 100.32 | $0.936 | $93.9 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETDown | buy | 51.81 | $0.500 | $25.91 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9AM ETUp | sell | 51.47 | $0.450 | $23.16 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 9AM ETUp | buy | 51.47 | $0.590 | $30.37 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?Yes | buy | 51.73 | $0.330 | $17.07 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETUp | buy | 51.1 | $0.690 | $35.26 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?Yes | buy | 51.81 | $0.300 | $15.54 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?Yes | buy | 51.88 | $0.275 | $14.27 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?Yes | sell | 35.5 | $0.998 | $35.41 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 6?Down | sell | 54.9 | $0.002 | $0.11 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 1.97K | $0.001 | $1.97 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 6?Down | buy | 169.52 | $0.001 | $0.17 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Hang Seng (HSI) Up or Down on July 6?Down | buy | 4.17K | $0.001 | $4.17 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 102.54 | $0.380 | $38.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 2?No | buy | 103.05 | $0.260 | $26.79 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.840 | $83.99 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.780 | $15.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |