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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump say 'DEI' or 'diversity, equity, and inclusion' during the 2025 State of the Union?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.700 | $1.41 | Feb 12, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 1.25 |
| $0.930 |
| $1.16 |
| Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes | sell | 0.8 | $0.370 | $0.3 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Feds raid Jay-Z before April?No | sell | 2.99 | $0.918 | $2.74 | Feb 12, 2025 |
Will Trump eliminate daylight saving time in first 100 days?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.880 | $2.85 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will the number of federal employees decrease by less than 25,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 2.15 | $0.660 | $1.42 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Elon be worth $500b before March?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.770 | $1.95 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Fact Check: Connection between New Orleans and Las Vegas attacks?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.998 | $1.97 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Feds raid Jay-Z before April?No | buy | 3 | $0.964 | $2.89 | Jan 8, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 in December?Yes | buy | 3.98 | $0.400 | $1.59 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will Real Madrid win La Liga?Yes | buy | 0.38 | $0.450 | $0.17 | Dec 17, 2024 |
Will RFK be a member of the Trump administration?Yes | buy | 0.17 | $0.919 | $0.16 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?Yes | buy | 0.8 | $0.710 | $0.57 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Ethereum reach $3,750 in November?Yes | buy | 3.63 | $0.240 | $0.87 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?Yes | buy | 0.08 | $0.390 | $0.03 | Nov 29, 2024 |
Global heat increase between 1.28°C and 1.30°C for 2024?Yes | buy | 0.35 | $0.860 | $0.3 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will the November 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.310 | $0.97 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will Sam Altman take equity in OpenAI in 2024?No | buy | 0.45 | $0.911 | $0.41 | Nov 15, 2024 |
Will 538 correctly call the Presidential Election?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.430 | $0.5 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will Biden's 538 approval reach 43% in September?No | buy | 0.81 | $0.995 | $0.81 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Israel claims responsibility for Hezbollah pager attack?No | buy | 0.63 | $0.999 | $0.63 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Trump Silver Bulletin odds >50% on Friday?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.250 | $0.77 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Mark Robinson divorce before the Election?No | buy | 0.79 | $0.940 | $0.74 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?No | sell | 0.15 | $0.910 | $0.14 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?No | sell | 0.2 | $0.934 | $0.19 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | sell | 0.29 | $0.721 | $0.21 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Nebraska's 2nd congressional district?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.850 | $0.24 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Zircuit airdrop by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.65 | $0.410 | $0.27 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Fed rate hike in 2024?No | sell | 0.34 | $0.964 | $0.33 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | sell | 1.18 | $0.831 | $0.98 | Sep 21, 2024 |
Will three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?Yes | buy | 0.3 | $0.745 | $0.22 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Season?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.567 | $0.67 | Sep 13, 2024 |
Will Adam Neumann buy back WeWork in 2024?No | buy | 0.15 | $0.980 | $0.15 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO in 2024?No | buy | 0.2 | $0.900 | $0.18 | Aug 23, 2024 |
ChatGPT integration with iPhone before October?Yes | buy | 2.17 | $0.240 | $0.52 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Disney sues over Grok copyright in August?No | buy | 0.38 | $0.970 | $0.37 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?Yes | buy | 3.43 | $0.070 | $0.24 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Bank of Japan emergency rate cut in August?No | buy | 0.62 | $0.994 | $0.62 | Aug 23, 2024 |
538 favorite when forecast is turned on?Trump | sell | 2.04 | $0.210 | $0.43 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Massachusetts US Senate Election?Yes | sell | 0.49 | $0.986 | $0.48 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win Massachusetts Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.54 | $0.976 | $0.53 | Aug 23, 2024 |
TikTok banned in the US in 2024?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.950 | $0.62 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.71 | $0.956 | $0.68 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will a Republican win Ohio Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.11 | $0.860 | $0.95 | Aug 23, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris go on SNL?No | sell | 3.56 | $0.465 | $1.66 | Aug 23, 2024 |
US adds between 100k and 150k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 0.3 | $0.330 | $0.1 | Aug 7, 2024 |
US bank failure by October 31?No | buy | 0.14 | $0.700 | $0.1 | Aug 7, 2024 |
Fed emergency rate cut in 2024?No | buy | 0.13 | $0.850 | $0.11 | Aug 7, 2024 |
Zircuit airdrop by September 30?Yes | buy | 0.65 | $0.750 | $0.49 | Aug 7, 2024 |