Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 131.08 | $0.358 | $46.53 | -$0.47 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in August?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.017 | $0.29 | 8d ago |
|
| No |
| 80 |
| $0.490 |
| $40.4 |
| +$1.2 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | Yes | 150 | $0.220 | $19.5 | -$13.5 |
| buy |
| 8.32 |
| $0.058 |
| $0.48 |
| 9d ago |
 Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Iran commits not to attack ships in Hormuz by Sunday?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.984 | $1.18 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?No | buy | 13 | $0.650 | $8.45 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Graham Platner drop out by July 8?Yes | buy | 9.89 | $0.530 | $5.24 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.019 | $1.9 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.999 | $19.98 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.300 | $6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
 Will Micah Lasher win the NY-12 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?Yes | buy | 39.99 | $0.938 | $37.51 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by June 22?No | buy | 7.28 | $0.978 | $7.12 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.690 | $10.35 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 53.99 | $0.206 | $11.12 | Jun 21, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.430 | $2.58 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.510 | $0.91 | Jun 16, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | sell | 3.99 | $0.450 | $1.8 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.470 | $0.22 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.028 | $0.28 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 127.87 | $0.047 | $6 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | sell | 21.07 | $0.280 | $5.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 21.07 | $0.280 | $5.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.89 | $0.845 | $4.98 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.9 | $0.848 | $5 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 38 | $0.152 | $5.78 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 22 | $0.670 | $14.74 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No | buy | 48 | $0.620 | $29.76 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 36.5 | $0.875 | $31.94 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.860 | $18.05 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | sell | 84.99 | $0.650 | $55.24 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.850 | $51 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Yes | sell | 134.8 | $0.114 | $15.39 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?Over | sell | 40 | $0.910 | $36.4 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?Over | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.580 | $5.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.580 | $11.6 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | sell | 40 | $0.770 | $30.8 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.580 | $29 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| LA Mayoral Election: Spencer Pratt receives Over/Under 25%?Over | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?No | buy | 14.12 | $0.570 | $8.05 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.900 | $13.5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?Yes | sell | 6.62 | $0.410 | $2.71 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 475 | $0.001 | $0.48 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Nithya Raman win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 464.51 | $0.002 | $0.93 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 4, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.7 | $0.999 | $10.69 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 177.45 | $0.200 | $35.49 | Jun 2, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.290 | $6 | Jun 2, 2026 |