Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | Yes | 143.76 | $0.035 | $2.66 | -$2.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | 1d ago |
|
| Yes |
| 41.68 |
| $0.048 |
| $1.5 |
| -$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 7.23 | $0.277 | $1.19 | -$0.81 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 64.6 | $0.015 | $0.78 | -$0.22 |
 UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.090 | $0.56 | -$0.44 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 22.5 | $0.089 | $0.51 | -$1.49 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.5 | -$1.5 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.140 | $0.43 | -$1.57 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.26 | -$0.74 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 4.76 | $0.210 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 99.91 | $0.010 | $0.05 | -$0.95 |
| buy |
| 50.5 |
| $0.020 |
| $1 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.86 | $0.035 | $1 | 12d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 64.6 | $0.015 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Egypt by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.91 | $0.010 | $1 | 21d ago |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.51 | $0.399 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | sell | 66.66 | $0.003 | $0.17 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.227 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 5.97 | $0.167 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 20.41 | $0.001 | $0.02 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 13.61 | $0.472 | $6.43 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.107 | $2.82 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | sell | 23.8 | $0.011 | $0.26 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 3.11 | $0.042 | $0.13 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.321 | $1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.032 | $0.34 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 3.32 | $0.338 | $1.12 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | sell | 18.86 | $0.670 | $12.64 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | sell | 7.88 | $0.070 | $0.55 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.095 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | May 15, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.025 | $0.16 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by May 31?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.83 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.018 | $0.37 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | May 2, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | May 1, 2026 |
 Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 1, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes | sell | 9.52 | $0.001 | $0.01 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 29, 2026 |