Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 58.96 | $0.869 | $56.75 | +$5.52 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes | buy | 65.48 | $0.027 | $1.77 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 39.92 |
| $0.931 |
| $38.94 |
| +$1.78 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 33 | $0.840 | $31.19 | +$3.47 |
 Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | 30.92 | $0.907 | $30.16 | +$2.12 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 29.12 | $0.933 | $26.83 | -$0.33 |
 US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? | No | 23 | $0.740 | $21.74 | +$4.72 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 23 | $0.860 | $21.51 | +$1.73 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 22 | $0.790 | $20.57 | +$3.19 |
 Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026? | No | 20 | $0.922 | $19.46 | +$1.02 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | No | 19 | $0.940 | $18.57 | +$0.71 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 16 | $0.700 | $13.59 | +$2.39 |
 Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 341.58 | $0.017 | $6.49 | +$0.55 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 50 | $0.150 | $3.85 | -$3.65 |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 749.98 | $0.021 | $3.75 | -$12 |
 Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? | Yes | 300 | $0.004 | $0.75 | -$0.45 |
| buy |
| 46.03 |
| $0.992 |
| $45.66 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 141.6 | $0.028 | $3.94 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.992 | $28.77 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | buy | 18 | $0.966 | $17.39 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.940 | $17.86 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 10.92 | $0.920 | $10.05 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 23 | $0.860 | $19.78 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.700 | $11.2 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 15.29 | $0.460 | $7.03 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 36.94 | $0.958 | $35.38 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 41.03 | $0.999 | $40.99 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionNo | buy | 41 | $0.997 | $40.88 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 29.12 | $0.933 | $27.17 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?No | buy | 25.04 | $0.961 | $24.06 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase April 14-20?Yes | buy | 24.97 | $0.992 | $24.77 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 33 | $0.840 | $27.72 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 86 | $0.991 | $85.23 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 600.49 | $0.002 | $1.2 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by April 30?Yes | buy | 240.06 | $0.011 | $2.64 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?No | buy | 39.92 | $0.931 | $37.17 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 38 | $0.002 | $0.08 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 42.68 | $0.030 | $1.28 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?No | buy | 27 | $0.941 | $25.41 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 33 | $0.900 | $29.7 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 53.67 | $0.988 | $53.03 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 500k?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.991 | $14.87 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 22.37 | $0.980 | $21.92 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 13.19 | $0.910 | $12 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 2.11K | $0.110 | $232.21 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 37.19 | $0.988 | $36.74 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 28.96 | $0.930 | $26.93 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.954 | $24.8 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 777 | $0.002 | $1.55 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Park Yong-jin win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes | buy | 629 | $0.002 | $1.26 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?No | buy | 33 | $0.958 | $31.61 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner?No | buy | 55.07 | $0.967 | $53.25 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.983 | $24.58 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 11.8 | $0.967 | $11.41 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Joana Amaral Dias win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 879.23 | $0.002 | $1.76 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 VOOI FDV above $50M one day after launch?No | buy | 33.61 | $0.999 | $33.58 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $102,000 December 15-21?No | buy | 27.14 | $0.999 | $27.11 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 26.13 | $0.965 | $25.22 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.960 | $15 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31?Yes | buy | 40.5 | $0.950 | $38.48 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Will Russia invade Finland in 2025?No | buy | 30.4 | $0.987 | $30 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 27.42 | $0.930 | $25.5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 32.35 | $0.510 | $16.5 | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will Ajax win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.002 | $1.6 | Oct 25, 2025 |