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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.999 | $1.25 | Jul 10, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.13 |
| $0.999 |
| $1.13 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C or higher on July 6?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.997 | $1.13 | Jul 5, 2026 |
Will a Chinese AI model become #1 by June 30?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.999 | $1.41 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Apple release Homepod Mini Successor by June 30?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.997 | $1.34 | Jun 29, 2026 |
Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?No | buy | 1.26 | $0.985 | $1.24 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.988 | $1.64 | Jun 14, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Krasnopillya by May 31?No | buy | 2.65 | $0.990 | $2.62 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Drake officially release Iceman by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.991 | $1.34 | May 9, 2026 |
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.999 | $1.78 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.996 | $1.96 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.997 | $1.85 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will any European country expel a U.S. ambassador by March 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.998 | $1.04 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 March 23-29?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.999 | $1.05 | Mar 28, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.999 | $2.07 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.07K | $0.001 | $12.07 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.07K | $0.001 | $11.07 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.07K | $0.001 | $11.07 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will Pedro Tinoco de Faria win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.07K | $0.001 | $11.07 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.07K | $0.001 | $11.07 | Dec 6, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.07K | $0.001 | $11.07 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.07K | $0.001 | $11.07 | Dec 5, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.53K | $0.001 | $11.53 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will António Filipe win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.53K | $0.001 | $10.53 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.53K | $0.001 | $12.53 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.53K | $0.001 | $12.53 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will José Cardoso win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 14.52K | $0.001 | $14.52 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will Raul Perestrello win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 12.53K | $0.001 | $12.53 | Dec 3, 2025 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 4?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.780 | $1.2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.2K | $0.001 | $13.2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will André Pestana win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.2K | $0.001 | $11.2 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.2K | $0.001 | $11.2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
Will Ângela Maryah win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.2K | $0.001 | $11.2 | Dec 1, 2025 |
>3.1 million TSA travelers any day November 23-30?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.570 | $1.04 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Nov 25, 2025 |
Will Bill Ackman say "Fannie" 20+ times during the X Space event on November 18?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.450 | $1.05 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Will Evelyn Matthei come in fourth in the 1st round of the 2025 Chilean presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.460 | $1.05 | Nov 13, 2025 |
Trump approval Up or Down this week?Up | buy | 2.86 | $0.630 | $1.8 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will Mamdani get over 50% of the vote in the general mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.590 | $1.49 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?No | sell | 308.18 | $0.402 | $123.89 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 193.33 | $0.644 | $124.5 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 193.33 | $0.645 | $124.7 | Oct 25, 2024 |
Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?No | buy | 5.57 | $0.350 | $1.95 | Oct 9, 2024 |