Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 52.08 | $0.480 | $45.57 | +$20.57 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 97.17 | $0.257 | $25 | Jul 22, 2026 |
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Yes| sell |
| 117.68 |
| $0.285 |
| $33.54 |
| Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.025 | $5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?No | buy | 156.25 | $0.160 | $25 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 95m and 105m?Yes | buy | 117.69 | $0.212 | $25 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 52.08 | $0.480 | $25 | Jul 6, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 161.29 | $0.560 | $90.37 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 72.04 | $0.694 | $50 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 11?Yes | buy | 16.83 | $0.594 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 11?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on June 11?Yes | buy | 22.27 | $0.449 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on June 11?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on June 11?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 11?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.476 | $10 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.020 | $2 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 16°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 3.71K | $0.001 | $5 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 25.13 | $0.398 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 21.04 | $0.475 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.590 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 9?Yes | buy | 20.56 | $0.486 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?Yes | buy | 76.86 | $0.651 | $50 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.290 | $50 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 8?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.410 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on June 8?Yes | buy | 119.62 | $0.084 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 8?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 8?Yes | buy | 19.5 | $0.513 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 8?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 8?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.400 | $10 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.310 | $50 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.500 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on June 7?Yes | buy | 19.11 | $0.523 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on June 7?Yes | buy | 19.02 | $0.526 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on June 7?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 7?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 877.19 | $0.057 | $50 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on June 6?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?Yes | buy | 19.46 | $0.514 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on June 6?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 6?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 6?Yes | buy | 45.44 | $0.220 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 6?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jun 5, 2026 |