Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 13.57 | $0.330 | $4.41 | -$0.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.97 | $0.930 | $2.76 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 3.21 |
| $0.760 |
| $2.17 |
| -$0.27 |
 Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | Yes | 3.05 | $0.360 | $1.6 | +$0.5 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 1.86 | $0.590 | $1.4 | +$0.3 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.41 | $0.780 | $1.26 | +$0.16 |
| sell |
| 4.44 |
| $0.670 |
| $2.97 |
| Aug 4, 2026 |
| Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.97 | $0.830 | $2.47 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 1.86 | $0.590 | $1.1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | sell | 1.61 | $0.810 | $1.3 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5.5B by July 31?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.990 | $5.26 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.780 | $1.1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | sell | 4.18 | $0.690 | $2.88 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.59 | $0.830 | $1.32 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.730 | $1.1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | sell | 3.9 | $0.600 | $2.34 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | sell | 37.93 | $0.035 | $1.33 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?Yes | buy | 37.93 | $0.029 | $1.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.690 | $1.1 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.360 | $1.1 | Jul 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.38 | $0.940 | $1.3 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 4.01 | $0.745 | $2.99 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 4.02 | $0.611 | $2.46 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.630 | $2.46 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No | sell | 3.09 | $0.962 | $2.97 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | sell | 1.42 | $0.910 | $1.29 | Jul 12, 2026 |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.252 | $1.33 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.820 | $1.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.680 | $1.09 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.480 | $1.03 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.790 | $1.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.260 | $1.1 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 4.44 | $0.560 | $2.49 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?No | buy | 3.09 | $0.807 | $2.49 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Bench" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 3.04 | $0.991 | $3.01 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.208 | $1.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?Yes | buy | 1.42 | $0.770 | $1.09 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)Conor McGregor | buy | 7.57 | $0.330 | $2.5 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Delta Air Lines say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 2.74 | $0.910 | $2.49 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Delta Air Lines say "Occupancy" during earnings call?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.890 | $2.49 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Delta Air Lines say "Vacation" during earnings call?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.910 | $2.49 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will the announcers say "Onside" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 2.97 | $0.999 | $2.97 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 3.47 | $0.990 | $3.44 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | sell | 3.21 | $0.990 | $3.18 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | sell | 4.8 | $0.950 | $4.56 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "History" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 2.87 | $0.870 | $2.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Crossbar" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 4.8 | $0.520 | $2.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Bench" during the Spain vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.820 | $2.49 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "VAR" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?No | buy | 6.38 | $0.310 | $1.98 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Onside" during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 2.97 | $0.840 | $2.49 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the France vs Morocco FIFA World Cup Match?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.720 | $2.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 3.21 | $0.777 | $2.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 3.21 | $0.777 | $2.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 3.21 | $0.777 | $2.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceFrance | buy | 3.21 | $0.777 | $2.5 | Jul 9, 2026 |