Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 2.2K | $0.800 | $2.1K | +$341 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will England win on 2026-07-15?Yes | buy | 41.47 | $0.352 | $14.62 | Jul 14, 2026 |
|
| No |
| 2.42K |
| $0.825 |
| $1.83K |
| -$167.13 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 9.79K | $0.142 | $974.4 | -$416.2 |
 Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | 767.06 | $0.652 | $579.13 | +$79.13 |
 Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | 623.42 | $0.802 | $486.27 | -$13.73 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $200M one day after launch? | No | 370.41 | $0.860 | $313 | -$5.56 |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record? | No | 309.4 | $0.560 | $245.97 | +$72.71 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | 878.24 | $0.840 | $153.69 | -$584.03 |
| Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | 763 | $0.660 | $41.97 | -$461.62 |
| buy |
| 10.81K |
| $0.920 |
| $9.94K |
| Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.710 | $213 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.800 | $1.76K | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 4.85 | $0.724 | $3.51 | May 24, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.04K | $0.910 | $4.58K | May 22, 2026 |
 Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 22?No | buy | 100 | $0.995 | $99.5 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will James Garner be included in England's official 2026 World Cup squad list?No | buy | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | May 22, 2026 |
 Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.600 | $300 | May 19, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.952 | $1.4 | May 14, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 530.46 | $0.952 | $505 | May 14, 2026 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?Yes | buy | 506.26 | $0.988 | $500 | May 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?No | buy | 1.01K | $0.995 | $1K | May 12, 2026 |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.34K | $0.890 | $2.08K | May 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.07K | $0.961 | $1.99K | May 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 12.68 | $0.960 | $12.17 | May 9, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 266.77 | $0.969 | $258.5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 425.36 | $0.920 | $391.33 | May 4, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.17K | $0.920 | $2K | May 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 2.98K | $0.840 | $2.5K | May 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 8?No | buy | 2.01K | $0.997 | $2K | May 2, 2026 |
 Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 257.65 | $0.998 | $257.13 | May 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 3.16K | $0.950 | $3K | May 2, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No | buy | 348.48 | $0.994 | $346.25 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.21K | $0.301 | $364.59 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No | buy | 123.62 | $0.993 | $122.7 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.97K | $0.050 | $98.66 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.4K | $0.023 | $32.2 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?No | buy | 1.05K | $0.993 | $1.04K | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1.16K | $0.900 | $1.05K | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 527.73 | $0.949 | $500.71 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 95.49 | $0.979 | $93.46 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?No | sell | 1.1K | $0.085 | $93.31 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 953.44 | $0.629 | $600 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 265.57K | $0.002 | $531.13 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will Tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 9%+?Yes | buy | 471.46 | $0.995 | $469.1 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Solana dip to $70 in April?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?No | buy | 205.9 | $0.447 | $92.04 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?Yes | buy | 5.35 | $0.960 | $5.14 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Zhu Jiner win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament?Yes | sell | 27.82 | $0.189 | $5.27 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?Yes | buy | 733.74 | $0.610 | $447.58 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 3.82K | $0.458 | $1.75K | Apr 10, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 379.26 | $0.551 | $208.97 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?No | sell | 6.4K | $0.033 | $208.64 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.6K | $0.756 | $1.21K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 1.31K | $0.919 | $1.21K | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.742 | $771.88 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | sell | 1.01K | $0.372 | $376.86 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 3.97K | $0.762 | $3.02K | Apr 8, 2026 |