Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.005 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 50K |
| $0.002 |
| $100 |
| Jun 17, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 5.19K | $0.019 | $101 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 50K | $0.002 | $100 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.1K | $0.164 | $1K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 698.53 | $0.143 | $100 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.02K | $0.166 | $1K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.05K | $0.165 | $1K | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 390.12 | $0.769 | $300 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.12K | $0.766 | $4.69K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.767 | $2.3K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 20.45 | $0.766 | $15.66 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.31K | $0.764 | $1K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.61K | $0.766 | $2K | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.81K | $0.086 | $500 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 5.56K | $0.018 | $100 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 15K | $0.870 | $13.05K | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.870 | $2.61K | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.870 | $1.74K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 3K | $0.870 | $2.61K | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 2.3K | $0.870 | $2K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.68K | $0.750 | $2.01K | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 280.07 | $0.714 | $200 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 140.96 | $0.709 | $100 | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.49K | $0.670 | $1K | May 30, 2026 |
 Claude 4.8 released by May 31?No | buy | 12.43K | $0.002 | $20 | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.860 | $1K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16K | $0.860 | $1K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.74K | $0.860 | $1.5K | May 28, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.730 | $292 | May 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.740 | $1K | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 378 | $0.680 | $257.04 | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.680 | $1.36K | May 26, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.870 | $348 | May 25, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.610 | $610 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.610 | $610 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.94K | $0.514 | $1K | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 516.69 | $0.440 | $227.34 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 183.01 | $0.630 | $115.3 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2K | $0.640 | $1.28K | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.700 | $700 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.710 | $710 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.710 | $710 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 100 | $0.710 | $71 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | May 23, 2026 |