Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026? | No | 4.59 | $0.959 | $4.45 | +$0.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?No | buy | 4.59 | $0.959 | $4.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 4.42 |
| $0.996 |
| $4.4 |
| Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 4.34 | $0.964 | $4.18 | Jul 27, 2026 |
Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 4.34 | $0.967 | $4.2 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.62 | $0.987 | $3.57 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.62 | $0.983 | $3.56 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 4.61 | $0.982 | $4.53 | May 12, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.62 | $0.983 | $4.54 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.54 | $0.993 | $4.51 | Mar 19, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 17?No | buy | 4.51 | $0.990 | $4.46 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?No | sell | 4.55 | $0.981 | $4.46 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?No | buy | 4.56 | $0.963 | $4.39 | Feb 9, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 49°F or below on January 30?No | buy | 4.39 | $0.989 | $4.34 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | sell | 4.49 | $0.967 | $4.34 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by March 31 2026?No | buy | 4.49 | $0.970 | $4.36 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Austria join NATO by December 31?No | buy | 4.36 | $0.998 | $4.35 | Dec 15, 2025 |
Will Procreate Pocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?No | buy | 4.35 | $0.996 | $4.33 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 3?No | buy | 4.33 | $0.974 | $4.22 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | sell | 4.45 | $0.947 | $4.21 | Dec 2, 2025 |
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31?No | buy | 4.46 | $0.965 | $4.3 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?No | sell | 4.51 | $0.955 | $4.31 | Nov 26, 2025 |
Will North and South Korea engage in direct talks in 2025?No | buy | 4.52 | $0.939 | $4.24 | Nov 21, 2025 |
Will Jeannette Jara win less than 20% of votes in the first round?No | buy | 4.24 | $0.951 | $4.03 | Nov 11, 2025 |
Will CarMax (KMX) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?No | buy | 4.03 | $0.995 | $4.01 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 4.15 | $0.967 | $4.01 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.971 | $4.03 | Oct 13, 2025 |
Hamas leadership out of Qatar before Trump in office?No | buy | 4.2 | $0.967 | $4.06 | Jan 4, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?No | buy | 0.82 | $0.998 | $0.82 | Dec 19, 2024 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 0.66 | $0.979 | $0.65 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.968 | $3.19 | Dec 6, 2024 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 0.82 | $0.970 | $0.8 | Nov 22, 2024 |
Will Harris win New Jersey by 10+ points?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.991 | $1.44 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Kamala get more votes than Biden?No | buy | 0.72 | $0.997 | $0.72 | Nov 14, 2024 |
Will Republicans have 56 or more seats in Senate after election?Yes | sell | 21.9K | $0.001 | $21.9 | Nov 10, 2024 |
2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 35-64No | buy | 2.03 | $0.998 | $2.03 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will another team win La Liga?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.998 | $1.52 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?No | buy | 1.38 | $0.995 | $1.37 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2025 NBA Finals?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.997 | $1.09 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Bournemouth wins the Premier League?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.997 | $1.41 | Nov 7, 2024 |
GOP wins popular vote by 5-6%?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.999 | $1.33 | Nov 7, 2024 |
Will a candidate from another party win Georgia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 30.65K | $0.001 | $30.65 | Nov 5, 2024 |