Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 16.47 | $0.911 | $15.83 | +$0.83 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 6.11 |
| $0.981 |
| $6.03 |
| +$0.03 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.310 | $3.39 | -$1.61 |
| buy |
| 9.8 |
| $0.510 |
| $5 |
| Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?No | buy | 5.15 | $0.971 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by June 30?No | buy | 5.26 | $0.950 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Borova by May 31?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.850 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 6.11 | $0.981 | $6 | May 18, 2026 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?Yes | buy | 351.93 | $0.014 | $5 | May 18, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.11 | $0.978 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 16.47 | $0.911 | $15 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Apr 1, 2026 |