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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.200 | $227.47 | Nov 25, 2025 |
|
| sell |
| 1.42K |
| $0.160 |
| $227.47 |
| Nov 25, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.42K | $0.240 | $341.21 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Yes | sell | 384.61 | $0.320 | $123.08 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | sell | 411.58 | $0.530 | $218.14 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?No | buy | 411.59 | $0.643 | $264.62 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.260 | $100 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,700 on November 1?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.097 | $100 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 1?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.150 | $100 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.080 | $100 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Over $1.3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
| Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?No | buy | 157.48 | $0.127 | $20 | Oct 28, 2025 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on October 27?Down | buy | 143.21 | $0.140 | $20 | Oct 27, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 27?Yes | sell | 160 | $0.438 | $70.08 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Perplexity acquire Chrome in 2025?Yes | buy | 347.87 | $0.057 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,200 October 20-26?Yes | sell | 394.04 | $0.412 | $162.34 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 27?Yes | buy | 667.07 | $0.010 | $7 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 27?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.125 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4,200 October 20-26?Yes | buy | 394.05 | $0.051 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?Yes | sell | 183.64 | $0.984 | $180.73 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,200 on October 20?Yes | buy | 181.82 | $0.110 | $20 | Oct 17, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 18?Yes | buy | 555.56 | $0.180 | $100 | Oct 17, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | sell | 430.53 | $0.031 | $13.55 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 16?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.120 | $100 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 16?Yes | buy | 694.44 | $0.072 | $50 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.240 | $100 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5000 in October?Yes | buy | 540.95 | $0.370 | $200 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4800 in October?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.450 | $200 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 14?Yes | buy | 49.66 | $0.030 | $1.49 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.760 | $91.2 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.48K | $0.029 | $100 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,400 on October 14?Yes | buy | 310.08 | $0.129 | $40 | Oct 13, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 14?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.030 | $20 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 138.46 | $0.065 | $9 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 8?Yes | buy | 317.46 | $0.063 | $20 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 8?No | buy | 445.76 | $0.045 | $20 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,600 on October 8?Yes | buy | 277.78 | $0.180 | $50 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid launch stocks perps in 2025?Yes | buy | 183.64 | $0.545 | $100 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?Yes | buy | 430.54 | $0.599 | $257.69 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 363.63 | $0.710 | $258.06 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?Yes | sell | 200.2 | $0.150 | $30.03 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.14K | $0.027 | $30.86 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 555.55 | $0.080 | $44.44 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.67K | $0.032 | $53.61 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?No | buy | 166.67 | $0.120 | $20 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| US government shutdown by October 1?No | buy | 235.29 | $0.170 | $40 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$10B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 522.37 | $0.160 | $83.58 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.060 | $100 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.550 | $200 | Sep 25, 2025 |