Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? | Yes | 1.11K | $0.270 | $238.89 | -$61.11 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.09K | $0.160 | $1.61K | 7h ago |
|
| buy |
| 1.11K |
| $0.270 |
| $300 |
| 1d ago |
 Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.390 | $15.6 | 1d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 5.01 | $0.510 | $2.56 | 4d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | sell | 530.26 | $0.641 | $339.79 | 5d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | sell | 129.73 | $0.712 | $92.41 | 6d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.781 | $85.9 | 6d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.830 | $83 | 6d ago |
| Will the AfD be part of a German state government in 2026?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.547 | $16.4 | 6d ago |
 Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | sell | 613.55 | $0.880 | $539.92 | 6d ago |
| Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?No | buy | 613.56 | $0.872 | $535 | 6d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 3.36K | $0.160 | $538.28 | 11d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.53K | $0.170 | $600 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 80.11 | $0.360 | $28.84 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.33K | $0.300 | $1K | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.59K | $0.303 | $2K | Jul 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.35K | $0.991 | $2.33K | May 31, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 5.5K | $0.900 | $4.95K | May 25, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes | sell | 756.49 | $0.090 | $68.08 | May 25, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Yes | buy | 756.5 | $0.661 | $500 | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.730 | $1K | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 2.74K | $0.730 | $2K | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | buy | 1.39K | $0.720 | $1K | May 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.35K | $0.850 | $2K | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.64K | $0.760 | $2.77K | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.968 | $3.1K | May 22, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.64K | $0.880 | $3.2K | May 19, 2026 |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?No | buy | 27.1 | $0.262 | $7.1 | May 17, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.43K | $0.900 | $2.18K | May 17, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 9.19K | $0.260 | $2.39K | May 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | sell | 6.1K | $0.985 | $6.01K | May 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | sell | 4.29K | $0.990 | $4.25K | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | sell | 3.78K | $0.995 | $3.76K | May 11, 2026 |
 Epstein suicide note released by May 8?Yes | buy | 553.08 | $0.168 | $93.13 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 3.78K | $0.900 | $3.4K | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 4.29K | $0.850 | $3.65K | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.22K | $0.670 | $3.5K | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.220 | $500 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 2.27K | $0.220 | $500 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 4.65K | $0.215 | $1K | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 4.48K | $0.669 | $3K | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.1K | $0.803 | $4.9K | May 8, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.63K | $0.680 | $2.47K | May 8, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.63K | $0.698 | $2.54K | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $200 in January?Yes | buy | 5.27K | $0.019 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.97K | $0.254 | $500 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?No | sell | 730.98 | $0.870 | $635.95 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.93K | $0.150 | $289.61 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.270 | $500 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.77 | $0.260 | $2.02 | Jan 14, 2026 |