Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $3.41 | +$1.41 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Arkansas Senate election by 10%-15%?Yes | buy | 8.03 | $0.249 | $2 | 3d ago |
| Yes |
| 8.03 |
| $0.249 |
| $2.12 |
| +$0.12 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | $0 |
 Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 200 | $0.009 | $1.5 | -$0.3 |
 Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.100 | $1.5 | -$0.5 |
 Kash Patel out by December 31? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.310 | $1.48 | -$0.52 |
 Houthis seize an oil tanker by September 15, 2026? | Yes | 39.51 | $0.050 | $1.44 | -$0.53 |
 Will Alysa Liu be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? | Yes | 10.05 | $0.138 | $1.35 | -$0.04 |
 Will Kanye West meet with Vladimir Putin by October 31? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.040 | $1.32 | -$0.67 |
 Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | No | 1.73 | $0.220 | $1.31 | +$0.93 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.180 | $1.17 | -$0.83 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5.55 | $0.290 | $1.14 | -$0.47 |
 Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 5.92 | $0.320 | $1.1 | -$0.8 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.040 | $0.9 | -$3.1 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.36 | $0.190 | $0.83 | -$1.14 |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by September 30? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.060 | $0.67 | -$1.33 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 10.24 | $0.110 | $0.21 | -$0.92 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes| sell |
| 0.11 |
| $0.240 |
| $0.03 |
| 8d ago |
| Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | sell | 0.19 | $0.300 | $0.06 | 25d ago |
 Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?Yes | sell | 3.99 | $0.100 | $0.4 | 26d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.51 | $0.310 | $1.71 | 26d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.148 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.148 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.148 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?Yes | sell | 0.04 | $0.148 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 10.62 | $0.220 | $2.34 | 28d ago |
 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Yes | sell | 19.8 | $0.060 | $1.19 | Aug 13, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 13?Yes | sell | 4.17 | $0.879 | $3.67 | Aug 12, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.160 | $0.36 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17?Yes | sell | 8.12 | $0.140 | $1.14 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 9.79 | $0.280 | $2.74 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp | buy | 14.28 | $0.140 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 9.6 | $0.190 | $1.82 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 9:05PM-9:10PM ETUp | buy | 11.11 | $0.150 | $1.67 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETUp | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?Yes | sell | 42.84 | $0.029 | $1.24 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?Yes | sell | 42.84 | $0.029 | $1.24 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena win on 2026-08-01?Yes | sell | 22.52 | $0.029 | $0.65 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?Yes | buy | 43.47 | $0.046 | $2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | sell | 6.91 | $0.360 | $2.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by August 31?No | buy | 6.91 | $0.280 | $1.93 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 7:35PM-7:40PM ETUp | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.120 | $2.18 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.21 | $0.280 | $0.34 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?No | sell | 5.71 | $0.490 | $2.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?No | sell | 7.36 | $0.250 | $1.84 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.070 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | sell | 9.85 | $0.100 | $0.99 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | sell | 8.03 | $0.150 | $1.2 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.007 | $1.4 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta BravesSan Diego Padres | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. New York YankeesPittsburgh Pirates | buy | 6.06 | $0.330 | $2 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.009 | $1.8 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 XRP Up or Down on June 1?Down | buy | 2.44 | $0.810 | $1.98 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Solana Up or Down on June 1?Up | buy | 2.96 | $0.670 | $1.98 | May 31, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on June 1?Down | buy | 3.36 | $0.590 | $1.98 | May 31, 2026 |
| XRP Up or Down on May 31?Up | buy | 39.6 | $0.050 | $1.98 | May 31, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on May 31?Down | buy | 2.96 | $0.670 | $1.98 | May 31, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes | buy | 6.82 | $0.290 | $1.98 | May 31, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | sell | 13.78 | $0.420 | $5.79 | May 29, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?Yes | buy | 21.99 | $0.090 | $1.98 | May 29, 2026 |