Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? | No | 12.56 | $0.796 | $9.61 | -$0.39 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?No | buy | 12.56 | $0.796 | $10 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 6.25 |
| $0.800 |
| $5.38 |
| +$0.38 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | No | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | Yes | 8.05 | $0.621 | $4.87 | -$0.13 |
 Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | No | 7.76 | $0.644 | $4.86 | -$0.14 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 6.82 | $0.440 | $4.57 | +$1.57 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | No | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4.35 | +$0.35 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | No | 4 | $0.500 | $3.46 | +$1.46 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 5.91 | $0.508 | $3.3 | +$0.3 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 3.51 | $0.570 | $3.04 | +$1.04 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 3.23 | $0.620 | $3.02 | +$1.02 |
 Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026? | No | 3.45 | $0.580 | $2.79 | +$0.79 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2.45 | +$0.45 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2.27 | +$0.27 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.160 | $1.81 | -$0.19 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1.2 | +$0.2 |
 Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? | No | 2.56 | $0.780 | $1.17 | -$0.83 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | Yes | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | Yes | 4.05 | $0.370 | $1.07 | -$0.43 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 2 | $0.500 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 2.94 | $0.340 | $0.82 | -$0.18 |
 Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027? | Yes | 6.67 | $0.150 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 2 |
| $0.500 |
| $1 |
| 4d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 2.27 | $0.490 | $1.11 | 4d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?Yes | buy | 4.29 | $0.700 | $3 | 7d ago |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.280 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?No | buy | 7.76 | $0.644 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5.91 | $0.508 | $3 | 7d ago |
 Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes | buy | 3.85 | $0.520 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | 7d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | 7d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 8.05 | $0.621 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | 7d ago |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETDown | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.902 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.504 | $2 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?Yes | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will France vs. England end in a draw?Yes | buy | 3.3 | $0.303 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 4.16 | $0.110 | $0.46 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.550 | $6.88 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 6:20PM-6:25PM ETUp | buy | 6.94 | $0.720 | $5 | Jul 18, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.39 | $0.418 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 CAQ leadership elections?Yes | buy | 6.33 | $0.790 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.823 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?No | buy | 4.71 | $0.850 | $4 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.900 | $5 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?Yes | sell | 4.08 | $0.276 | $1.13 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 3.12 | $0.120 | $0.37 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (HIGH) in March 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.620 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?No | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?No | buy | 3.51 | $0.570 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will UK strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.830 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Qatar strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 9?Down | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Mar 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.589 | $2 | Mar 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.13 | $0.469 | $1 | Mar 8, 2026 |