Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 651.9 | $0.767 | $500 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 294.12 |
| $0.170 |
| $50 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 50+ times during June Press Conference?No | buy | 25.53 | $0.783 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference?No | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 17.44 | $0.573 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Job Market" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 32.66 | $0.612 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Balance Sheet" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Predecessor" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 18.39 | $0.544 | $10 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Good Afternoon" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 25.97 | $0.770 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will Warsh say "Jerome" or "Powell" during June Press Conference?Yes | buy | 28.99 | $0.690 | $20 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 106.87 | $0.468 | $50 | May 22, 2026 |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Yes | sell | 416.66 | $0.074 | $30.67 | May 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 166.67 | $0.440 | $73.33 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 156.25 | $0.600 | $93.75 | May 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.150 | $50 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?Yes | buy | 416.67 | $0.120 | $50 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 63.8 | $0.784 | $50 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 43.05 | $0.800 | $34.44 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Canadiens vs. LightningHabs | buy | 197.84 | $0.490 | $96.94 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.640 | $100 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 140.84 | $0.989 | $139.29 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 140.85 | $0.710 | $100 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.990 | $23.02 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?No | sell | 23.9 | $0.152 | $3.63 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Iran" during March press conference?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?No | buy | 28.17 | $0.710 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Supreme Court" during March press conference?No | buy | 23.91 | $0.837 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?No | buy | 27.4 | $0.730 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Politics" during March press conference?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "War" during March press conference?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during March press conference?No | buy | 100.5 | $0.020 | $2 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Men's Semifinals - USA vs. SlovakiaSlovakia | buy | 115.38 | $0.130 | $15 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. FinlandCanada | sell | 378.2 | $0.980 | $370.64 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. FinlandCanada | buy | 128.21 | $0.780 | $100 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 154.77 | $0.289 | $44.77 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Women's Ice Hockey at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | sell | 263.15 | $0.998 | $262.62 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 263.16 | $0.760 | $200 | Jan 28, 2026 |
 Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.023 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 101m and 112m?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.100 | $30 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 112m and 123m?Yes | buy | 517.24 | $0.058 | $30 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 123m?Yes | buy | 1.3K | $0.023 | $30 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 303.03 | $0.660 | $200 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.918 | $1K | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?Yes | buy | 2.18K | $0.916 | $2K | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 1.57K | $0.955 | $1.5K | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.950 | $2K | Oct 9, 2025 |