Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | No | 9.73 | $0.925 | $9.51 | +$0.51 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on May 18?No | buy | 19.15 | $0.940 | $18 | May 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 8.51 |
| $0.940 |
| $8.25 |
| +$0.25 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | No | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7.39 | +$0.39 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | No | 7.13 | $0.982 | $7.11 | +$0.11 |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | 8.05 | $0.870 | $6.64 | -$0.36 |
| buy |
| 13.42 |
| $0.969 |
| $13 |
| May 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on May 18?No | buy | 15.4 | $0.974 | $15 | May 17, 2026 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | buy | 8.05 | $0.870 | $7 | May 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.940 | $8 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on April 29?No | buy | 20.14 | $0.993 | $20 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on April 30?No | buy | 21.05 | $0.950 | $20 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 30?No | buy | 26.41 | $0.984 | $26 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 58.82 | $0.985 | $57.94 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) be the top performing Magnificent 7 company during the week of February 16?No | buy | 5.3 | $0.990 | $5.25 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.49 | $0.870 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.986 | $58 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.996 | $5.27 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.930 | $6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Apple release HomePod mini successor by December 31?No | buy | 6.26 | $0.958 | $6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?No | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Apple release a new product line in 2025?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.986 | $8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Bezos divorce in 2025?No | buy | 10.11 | $0.989 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Robinhood launch stock tokens in the US before 2026?No | buy | 7.06 | $0.991 | $7 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be between $175B and $200B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.990 | $11 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 9.57 | $0.940 | $9 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.982 | $7 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 3.37 | $0.890 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 7.45 | $0.940 | $7 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 9.73 | $0.925 | $9 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 7.13 | $0.982 | $7 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Google Gemini be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 12?No | buy | 4.07 | $0.983 | $4 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 3.01 | $0.997 | $3 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 6.22 | $0.964 | $6 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,100 on November 7?No | buy | 36.03 | $0.999 | $35.99 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 7?No | buy | 40.2 | $0.995 | $40 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 US strikes Afghanistan by October 31?No | buy | 42.94 | $0.999 | $42.9 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire another Fed Governor by October 31?No | buy | 33.05 | $0.999 | $33 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the September 2025 unemployment rate be 4.1%?No | buy | 42.04 | $0.999 | $42 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will Marco Francis win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?No | buy | 40.69 | $0.969 | $39.43 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will the Swiss referendum over the e-ID Act pass?Yes | buy | 12.77 | $0.940 | $12 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump's UN speech be between 20 and 25 minutes?No | buy | 53.81 | $0.966 | $52 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Konyaspor win on 2025-09-22?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.940 | $10 | Sep 22, 2025 |
 Will Apple acquire Perplexity before September?No | buy | 9.03 | $0.997 | $9 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 270–284 times August 22–August 29?No | buy | 8.13 | $0.984 | $8 | Aug 25, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | sell | 20.06 | $0.840 | $16.85 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 20.06 | $0.870 | $17.45 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 29.07 | $0.860 | $25 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 41.43 | $0.850 | $35.22 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 Will H win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?No | buy | 24.24 | $0.949 | $23 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 MH370 underwater wreckage found by June 30?No | buy | 23.02 | $0.999 | $23 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Mykolaivka before July?No | buy | 35.04 | $0.999 | $35 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the Union for National Progress win the most seats in the 2025 Burundian parliamentary election?No | buy | 6.02 | $0.996 | $6 | May 31, 2025 |
 Trump exits Russia x Ukraine negotiations before June?No | buy | 14.01 | $0.999 | $14 | May 31, 2025 |
 iPhone 16 pro costs $1,399 or more before July?No | buy | 8.87 | $0.992 | $8.8 | May 31, 2025 |