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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 8.56 | $0.935 | $8.21 | +$0.21 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 2.35 | $0.860 | $2.02 | Jul 27, 2026 |
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| No |
| 5.38 |
| $0.744 |
| $4.6 |
| +$0.6 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 8.93 | $0.560 | $4.51 | -$0.49 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 3.31 | $0.906 | $3.09 | +$0.09 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? | No | 3.1 | $0.968 | $3.02 | +$0.02 |
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026? | No | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2.08 | +$0.08 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
Will Alberta join the US? | No | 2.09 | $0.958 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 4.82 |
| $0.830 |
| $4 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.690 | $4 | Jun 6, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseNo | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.680 | $3 | Jun 6, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.23 | $0.930 | $3 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.993 | $3 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.968 | $2 | Jun 2, 2026 |
SBF released from custody in 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jun 2, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?No | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.880 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 5.04 | $0.993 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.958 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.969 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.2 | $0.910 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Iran coup attempt by June 30?No | buy | 2.15 | $0.930 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will Trump visit Pakistan by June 30?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.940 | $2 | Jun 1, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 5.35 | $0.935 | $5 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | sell | 4.01 | $0.999 | $4.01 | Jun 1, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.971 | $2 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | sell | 1.29 | $0.990 | $1.28 | May 31, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.993 | $1.34 | May 31, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | sell | 1.19 | $0.990 | $1.18 | May 31, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?No | sell | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | May 31, 2026 |
Trump out as President by May 31?No | sell | 9.01 | $0.999 | $9 | May 31, 2026 |
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | May 29, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?No | sell | 5.31 | $0.950 | $5.04 | May 26, 2026 |
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?No | sell | 1.08 | $0.987 | $1.07 | May 25, 2026 |
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 25, 2026 |