Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 24.84 | $0.483 | $13.04 | +$1.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.011 | $0.39 | Jul 30, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 26.88 |
| $0.186 |
| $6.55 |
| +$1.55 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 13.09 | $0.382 | $6.05 | +$1.05 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 81.08 | $0.037 | $2.88 | -$0.12 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 29.07 | $0.172 | $2.09 | -$2.91 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 25 | $0.120 | $1.88 | -$1.13 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4.88 | $0.205 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.350 | $0.93 | -$4.07 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.75 | -$0.25 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 10.34 | $0.290 | $0.62 | -$2.38 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 5.56 | $0.180 | $0.17 | -$0.83 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 250 | $0.004 | $0.13 | -$0.88 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 124 | $0.008 | $0.06 | -$0.94 |
| sell |
| 14.35 |
| $0.022 |
| $0.32 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 30?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.028 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Jul 26, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 8.11 | $0.370 | $3 | Jul 24, 2026 |
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.006 | $1 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 9.84 | $0.610 | $6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain | buy | 5.06 | $0.592 | $3 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Jul 19, 2026 |
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.49 | $0.402 | $1 | Jul 18, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Jul 3, 2026 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 81.08 | $0.037 | $3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | sell | 38.46 | $0.028 | $1.08 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.130 | $1.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 29?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 28, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C or below on June 28?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.410 | $2 | Jun 27, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.180 | $2 | Apr 21, 2026 |
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.09 | $0.382 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 4.88 | $0.205 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 29.07 | $0.172 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 26.88 | $0.186 | $5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by June 30?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.06 | $0.220 | $1.77 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.080 | $0.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.030 | $0.3 | Apr 17, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.73 | $0.560 | $9.37 | Apr 17, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.45 | $0.550 | $18.4 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 43.47 | $0.050 | $2.17 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Yes | buy | 10.34 | $0.290 | $3 | Apr 16, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Apr 15, 2026 |
Heat vs. HornetsHornets | buy | 7.21 | $0.680 | $4.9 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.340 | $10 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.350 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |