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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.900 | $1.8 | 26d ago |
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| buy |
| 1.71 |
| $0.976 |
| $1.67 |
| Jul 18, 2026 |
Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.960 | $1.04 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Tunisia win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.937 | $1.14 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 2.36 | $0.999 | $2.36 | Jun 7, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C or below on May 16?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.997 | $1.12 | May 15, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.23 | $0.976 | $2.18 | May 15, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.6 | $0.910 | $4.19 | May 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on April 5?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.999 | $1.12 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.992 | $2.4 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 4.42 | $0.973 | $4.3 | Apr 4, 2026 |
Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.968 | $1.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.85 | $0.771 | $2.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | buy | 4.22 | $0.996 | $4.2 | Mar 10, 2026 |
Will DtMF - Bad Bunny be the #1 song on US Spotify this week?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.984 | $1.3 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 3.07 | $0.814 | $2.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?No | buy | 10.18 | $0.998 | $10.16 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.24 | $0.969 | $1.2 | Jan 8, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 8?Yes | buy | 3.88K | $0.997 | $3.87K | Jan 7, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on December 29?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.999 | $1.4 | Dec 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.999 | $1.2 | Dec 29, 2025 |