Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 85.77 | $0.720 | $49.32 | -$12.44 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Cisco say "Fiscal" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 11.65 | $0.980 | $11.42 | 29d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 24.96 |
| $0.878 |
| $21.92 |
| Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Cava say "Shrimp" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 31.55 | $0.980 | $30.92 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Will Cava say "Expansion" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 63.66 | $0.980 | $62.39 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Will Hims say "Wearable" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.79 | $0.970 | $6.59 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Hims say "Subscriber" 15+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 52.14 | $0.960 | $50.07 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Hims say "Quarter" 20+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 179.23 | $0.973 | $174.32 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Hims say "Europe" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.980 | $9.8 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will Hims say "Peptide" 5+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 67.08 | $0.980 | $65.74 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Airbnb say "Guest" 20+ times during earnings call?Yes | sell | 106.27 | $0.561 | $59.58 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Airbnb say "International" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 20.12 | $0.975 | $19.62 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Airbnb say "Guest" 20+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 106.28 | $0.979 | $104.09 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Airbnb say "World Cup" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 49.96 | $0.976 | $48.74 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Airbnb say "Boutique" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 19.7 | $0.980 | $19.31 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?Yes | buy | 235.97 | $0.423 | $99.92 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will "Woman" be in the headlines this week?Yes | buy | 319.11 | $0.574 | $183.32 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Yes | buy | 119.58 | $0.963 | $115.18 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be another color?No | buy | 6.63 | $0.970 | $6.43 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?No | sell | 25 | $0.430 | $10.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Disney say "Revenue" 10+ times during earnings call?No | buy | 1K | $0.500 | $499.91 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Disney say "Attendance" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 9.13 | $0.980 | $8.95 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Disney say "Domestic" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 29.11 | $0.973 | $28.33 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Disney say "Doomsday" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 16.18 | $0.980 | $15.86 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Disney say "Moana" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 72.95 | $0.980 | $71.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Disney say "Box Office" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 18.99 | $0.980 | $18.61 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Uber say "Safety" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 135.73 | $0.975 | $132.29 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Uber say "Expansion" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 111.33 | $0.978 | $108.93 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Uber say "Mobility" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 12.22 | $0.980 | $11.98 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Uber say "Waymo" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 14.85 | $0.980 | $14.55 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Uber say "World Cup" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 24.84 | $0.968 | $24.04 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Uber say "Delivery" 10+ times during earnings call?Yes | buy | 88.63 | $0.980 | $86.86 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Uber say "Drone" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 14.85 | $0.980 | $14.55 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Uber say "Nvidia" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.970 | $6.69 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX say "Cursor" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 205.94 | $0.970 | $199.76 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Grok 5 be released by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 85.77 | $0.720 | $61.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Spotify say "Stream" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 8.99 | $0.930 | $8.36 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Spotify say "Customer" during earnings call?Yes | buy | 49.89 | $0.950 | $47.4 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.32 | $0.620 | $21.9 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $7.00 on July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.610 | $30.5 | Jul 21, 2026 |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $5.00 and $6.00 on July 31, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.900 | $36 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?No | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | Jul 17, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 19?No | buy | 67.3 | $0.380 | $25.57 | Jul 16, 2026 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.071 | $35.39 | Jul 15, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 99.99 | $0.660 | $65.99 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 8, 2026?Yes | sell | 632.7 | $0.014 | $8.86 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?No | sell | 149.99 | $0.010 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 712.68 | $0.001 | $0.71 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.100 | $40.03 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.009 | $2.56 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.086 | $25.91 | Jul 5, 2026 |