Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.061 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 24K | $0.001 | $24 | May 9, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 30.3 |
| $0.033 |
| $1 |
| Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 169.51 | $0.006 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 32.19 | $0.031 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 300.4 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Netanyahu out by June 30?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes | buy | 19.61 | $0.051 | $1 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.052 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 100.33 | $0.030 | $3 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.98 | $0.125 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 35.09 | $0.057 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.057 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.091 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.061 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.300 | $50 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Over $1M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.066 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 14 to March 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.6 | $0.065 | $1.14 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 7 | $0.640 | $4.48 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown | buy | 33.32 | $0.030 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:05AM-12:10AM ETDown | buy | 66.64 | $0.030 | $2 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown | buy | 9.05 | $0.110 | $1 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown | buy | 3.63 | $0.270 | $0.98 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETDown | buy | 6.45 | $0.500 | $3.23 | Mar 15, 2026 |