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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | Yes | 9.9K | $0.424 | $5.44K | +$1.24K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jul 20, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 6.04K |
| $0.480 |
| $3.77K |
| +$875.23 |
| buy |
| 344.51 |
| $0.220 |
| $75.79 |
| Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?Yes | buy | 9.88K | $0.425 | $4.2K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 308.19 | $0.480 | $147.93 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 5.73K | $0.480 | $2.75K | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?Yes | buy | 8.36K | $0.226 | $1.89K | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.33K | $0.997 | $9.3K | Jun 17, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 64.78 | $0.018 | $1.17 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 9.2K | $0.982 | $9.03K | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 6K | $0.019 | $114 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 7.06K | $0.019 | $134.23 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 600 | $0.948 | $568.8 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 400 | $0.948 | $379.2 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 102.59 | $0.772 | $79.15 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 9.03K | $0.940 | $8.48K | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 196.97 | $0.999 | $196.77 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.021 | $1.05 | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 1.35K | $0.962 | $1.3K | Dec 1, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 3.17K | $0.983 | $3.11K | Nov 24, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.640 | $64 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.290 | $5.51 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.983 | $983 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 659.85 | $0.935 | $616.96 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?No | sell | 100 | $0.098 | $9.8 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Trump and Mamdani shake hands for less than 2 seconds on November 21 2025?No | buy | 100 | $0.937 | $93.7 | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?No | buy | 334 | $0.940 | $313.96 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed in 2025?No | buy | 548.57 | $0.930 | $510.11 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 305 | $0.692 | $211.06 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.170 | $1.02 | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.927 | $1.26K | Nov 21, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.17K | $0.921 | $1.08K | Nov 21, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 8.24K | $0.995 | $8.2K | Nov 11, 2025 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?No | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Nov 10, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Yes | sell | 487 | $0.999 | $486.51 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Oct 31, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast reach 450 million subscribers in 2025?Yes | buy | 487 | $0.994 | $484.08 | Oct 31, 2025 |
 Will the Thunder beat the Pacers 4-0?No | buy | 99 | $0.780 | $77.22 | Jun 2, 2025 |