Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 2.21 | $0.560 | $1.24 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 5.12 |
| $0.400 |
| $2.05 |
| May 16, 2026 |
 Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | sell | 5.48 | $0.834 | $4.57 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.667 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 1.5 | $0.667 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.750 | $1.66 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 2.49 | $0.667 | $1.66 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 10.99 | $0.948 | $10.42 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.588 | $1.34 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?Yes | sell | 8.33 | $0.160 | $1.33 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.89 | $0.548 | $10.35 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 16.23 | $0.638 | $10.35 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 16.48 | $0.667 | $10.99 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 13.79 | $0.684 | $9.43 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.683 | $5 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 55.53 | $0.707 | $39.25 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 4.97 | $0.275 | $1.37 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 4.34 | $0.900 | $3.91 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 40.97 | $0.710 | $29.09 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.940 | $4.89 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.47 | $0.619 | $7.1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 7.85 | $0.614 | $4.82 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 5.95 | $0.810 | $4.82 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 33.56 | $0.614 | $20.61 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | sell | 14.7 | $0.660 | $9.7 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.920 | $4 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.840 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 50.97 | $0.705 | $35.91 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No | sell | 39.46 | $0.740 | $29.2 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?No | buy | 29.33 | $0.750 | $22 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | sell | 24.18 | $0.910 | $22 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | sell | 6.12 | $0.153 | $0.94 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?No | sell | 10.66 | $0.740 | $7.89 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.26 | $0.150 | $0.79 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in December?Yes | sell | 14.28 | $0.007 | $0.1 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.017 | $0.19 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.816 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | buy | 2.45 | $0.816 | $2 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.816 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in December?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in November?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.380 | $1.52 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 2.9% in November?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in November?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |