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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Wicked: For Good be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.22 |
| $0.870 |
| $1.06 |
| Jan 3, 2026 |
Will "Evil Influencer: The Jodi Hidebrandt Story" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.900 | $1.04 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will "Run Away" be the #2 global Netflix show this week? (January 6, 2026)Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.910 | $1.04 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 4?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.914 | $1.08 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.810 | $1.04 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.870 | $1.05 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.880 | $1.06 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.890 | $1.05 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.850 | $1.06 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.900 | $1.08 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | sell | 1.23 | $0.860 | $1.06 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.850 | $1.06 | Jan 3, 2026 |
Will How to Train Your Dragon be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in December?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.825 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of January 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 1.08 | $0.993 | $1.07 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | sell | 1.23 | $0.910 | $1.12 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.18 | $0.963 | $1.14 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.18 | $0.977 | $1.15 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.986 | $2.35 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 19?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the third-best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.844 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.844 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops EditionYes | sell | 1.05 | $0.980 | $1.03 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 1.25 | $0.900 | $1.13 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Bonnie Blue leaves Indonesia by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.974 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will "Wake Up Dead Man" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (December 16, 2025)Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will "Sean Combs: The Reckoning: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 16, 2025)Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.972 | $2 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the second best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.880 | $1.1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 9-15?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: Airdrops EditionYes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
XRP Up or Down on December 13?Up | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?80k | buy | 1.31 | $0.839 | $1.1 | Dec 13, 2025 |
Nothing Ever Happens: DecemberYes | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Dec 13, 2025 |