Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | No | 125 | $0.946 | $123.25 | +$5.04 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.280 | $2.8 | 1d ago |
| No |
| 119.54 |
| $0.911 |
| $108.9 |
| -$0 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 45.54 | $0.702 | $31.19 | -$0.77 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 30.99 | $0.710 | $26.18 | +$4.18 |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 35 | $0.796 | $24.5 | -$3.35 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.280 | $13.95 | +$5.55 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 19.3 | $0.570 | $11.87 | +$0.87 |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.273 | $8.4 | +$0.2 |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 15.23 | $0.758 | $8.15 | -$3.39 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Yes | 30.3 | $0.589 | $4.7 | -$13.15 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 5 | $0.800 | $4.18 | +$0.18 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10.11 | $0.550 | $3.69 | -$1.87 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 1.25 | $0.880 | $1.09 | -$0.01 |
Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes| buy |
| 30 |
| $0.273 |
| $8.2 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.280 | $5.6 | 1d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 19.3 | $0.570 | $11 | 6d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 3.75 | $0.750 | $2.81 | 6d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.974 | $48.7 | 7d ago |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.23 | $0.830 | $4.34 | 10d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | sell | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 10d ago |
 Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 3.94 | $0.029 | $0.11 | 11d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.11 | $0.550 | $5.56 | 12d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.012 | $0.1 | 13d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?No | sell | 8 | $0.988 | $7.9 | 17d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in August?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.051 | $0.31 | 18d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | 19d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | sell | 100.04 | $0.985 | $98.54 | 19d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 30.54 | $0.670 | $20.46 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?No | sell | 10 | $0.221 | $2.21 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?No | buy | 100.05 | $0.970 | $97 | 22d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 22d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 54.03 | $0.982 | $53.06 | 26d ago |
| Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 10-August 16?No | buy | 16.03 | $0.780 | $12.5 | 26d ago |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | 27d ago |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | 28d ago |
 Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?No | sell | 0.54 | $0.300 | $0.16 | 29d ago |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.850 | $12.75 | Aug 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.480 | $3 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 19.05 | $0.630 | $12 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?No | buy | 4.57 | $0.766 | $3.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 40.39 | $0.830 | $33.52 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.39 | $0.840 | $33.93 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.760 | $15.2 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 4.97 | $0.725 | $3.6 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) close above $375 end of July?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.840 | $21 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.716 | $1 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 54.03 | $0.870 | $47.01 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.060 | $0.6 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?No | sell | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.796 | $8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?No | buy | 109.54 | $0.913 | $100 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 30.99 | $0.710 | $22 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 3.97 | $0.755 | $3 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 3.81 | $0.525 | $2 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 10.48 | $0.525 | $5.5 | Jul 22, 2026 |