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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $111K and $113K on August 8?Yes | buy | 100.24 | $0.170 | $17.04 | Aug 7, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.995 |
| $1 |
| Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.962 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will GPT-5 be released by August 31?Yes | sell | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell in jail in 2025No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will the US Government sell Bitcoin by December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Obama federally charged in 2025?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Trump talk with Brazil president in July?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Obama in jail in 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Obama arrested in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by September 30?No | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Bitcoin all time high by July 31?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Trump invokes the Insurrection Act by December 31?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast's next video get between 35–40 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 30–35 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get less than 30 million views on day 1?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will TikTok be banned in 2025?No | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Tea App removed from App Store by August 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | buy | 2.28 | $0.439 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.645 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.904 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.935 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk's net worth be between $360b and $370b on July 31?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Trump Mobile smartphone released before September?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.955 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 GTA VI released in 2025?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 New X CEO announced by July 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will MrBeast be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Grok be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk be the next CEO of X?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI accuse Microsoft of violating antitrust before August?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Cluely $1B valuation in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product in 2025?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will a Chinese AI model become #1 in 2025?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI acquired in 2025?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| OpenAI social app in 2025?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will any AI score ≥85% on ARC-AGI-2 by November 3?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.904 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI $1T+ valuation in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill in 2025?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?No | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by August 31?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Grok-4 be the top AI before August?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI release an open source model before September?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Jul 27, 2025 |