Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.007 | $0.26 | Feb 3, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 50 |
| $0.930 |
| $46.5 |
| Feb 3, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 98 | $0.154 | $15.09 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ross Ulbricht in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 6 | $0.820 | $4.92 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?Yes | buy | 37 | $0.270 | $9.99 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump issue 100 or more executive orders in his first week?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.640 | $10.24 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Trump issues 100+ Executive Orders orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.180 | $9.9 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?Yes | buy | 48 | $0.210 | $10.08 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.620 | $9.92 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Canada in his first week?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.370 | $9.99 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "rig" or "rigged" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.240 | $5.04 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "ceasefire" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "carnage" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 12.3 | $0.130 | $1.6 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "hell" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 42 | $0.240 | $10.08 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "trans" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.195 | $9.95 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "January 6" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.210 | $4.2 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Biden say "old" during farewell address?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.590 | $10.03 | Jan 15, 2025 |
| Will Biden say "Trump" during farewell address?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.650 | $9.75 | Jan 15, 2025 |
 Trudeau out before April?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.700 | $49 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Tulsi Gabbard confirmed as Director of National Intelligence?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.640 | $32 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Trudeau out in 2024?Yes | buy | 66 | $0.151 | $9.97 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Elon Musk buy MSNBC?Yes | buy | 328 | $0.090 | $29.52 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?Yes | buy | 69 | $0.290 | $20.01 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Kamala say "Trump" 3 or more times in her speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.700 | $21 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 97.8 | $0.450 | $44.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 18.13 | $0.900 | $16.32 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 3.38 | $0.890 | $3.01 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 13.11 | $0.890 | $11.67 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Nevada US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.250 | $20 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Nevada US Senate Election?No | buy | 20 | $0.340 | $6.8 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Wisconsin Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 42 | $0.986 | $41.41 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "hell" 20 or more times during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.520 | $6.76 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Hitler" during Pittsburgh rally on Nov 4?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.220 | $2.75 | Nov 4, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Border" 20 or more times during Macon, GA rally?Yes | buy | 0.28 | $0.720 | $0.2 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during Macon, GA rally?Yes | buy | 14 | $0.590 | $8.26 | Nov 3, 2024 |
 GOP wins popular vote by 6-7%?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.009 | $9 | Nov 2, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 415 | $0.048 | $19.92 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.043 | $4.3 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Hitler" during Michigan rally on October 25?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.180 | $10.8 | Oct 25, 2024 |
 Will either FL, MN, NH, or TX flip in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| GOP wins popular vote by 2-3%?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.086 | $8.6 | Oct 25, 2024 |