Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 128.18 | $0.224 | $13.46 | -$15.24 |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 8.42 | $0.190 | $1.6 | 1h ago |
 |
| No |
| 11.76 |
| $0.680 |
| $11.26 |
| +$3.26 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | No | 11.76 | $0.810 | $10.53 | +$1 |
 Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027? | No | 13.21 | $0.610 | $10.44 | +$2.38 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18? | No | 28.57 | $0.280 | $8.14 | +$0.14 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 10.38 | $0.770 | $7.32 | -$0.67 |
 Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 25.56 | $0.310 | $7.28 | -$0.64 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition? | Yes | 10.52 | $0.760 | $7.26 | -$0.74 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 13.79 | $0.580 | $7.1 | -$0.9 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 13.12 | $0.590 | $6.49 | -$1.25 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 14.25 | $0.560 | $6.34 | -$1.64 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | No | 13 | $0.430 | $6.31 | +$0.72 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 15.69 | $0.510 | $5.88 | -$2.12 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 12.5 | $0.640 | $5.69 | -$2.31 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.66 | $0.610 | $4.88 | -$1.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | No | 13 | $0.390 | $4.49 | -$0.58 |
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.68 | $0.500 | $2.51 | -$5.33 |
| Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 1.5 | Under | 8.42 | $0.190 | $1.39 | -$0.21 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.210 | $1.35 | -$0.75 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | No | 12.82 | $0.220 | $1.35 | -$1.47 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 8.96 | $0.540 | $1.12 | -$3.72 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.190 | $1.11 | -$0.03 |
 Will US unemployment reach at least 5.0% in 2026? | Yes | 6 | $0.270 | $0.59 | -$1.03 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 7.1 | $0.700 | $0.57 | -$4.4 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.210 | $0.45 | -$0.81 |
| buy |
| 9.41 |
| $0.170 |
| $1.6 |
| 18h ago |
| Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?No | buy | 8 | $0.200 | $1.6 | 23h ago |
| FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 2.5Under | buy | 11.43 | $0.140 | $1.6 | 23h ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 7 2026?No | buy | 11.76 | $0.680 | $8 | 2d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.530 | $2.21 | 2d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 18?No | buy | 28.57 | $0.280 | $8 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 15.69 | $0.510 | $8 | 7d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.600 | $8 | 7d ago |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or more in August?No | buy | 20 | $0.400 | $8 | 8d ago |
 Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.600 | $8 | 9d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on September 7, 2026?No | buy | 12.12 | $0.660 | $8 | 14d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 24 to August 26, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | 15d ago |
 Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?Yes | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.68 | $0.253 | $1.69 | 18d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 16.88 | $0.474 | $8 | 19d ago |
 Will 180-199 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 17-August 23?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.700 | $8 | 19d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.240 | $8 | 20d ago |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 Week of August 17 2026?Yes | buy | 30.77 | $0.260 | $8 | 20d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?No | buy | 15.09 | $0.530 | $8 | 20d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.460 | $8 | 22d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 12.7 | $0.630 | $8 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | 25d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.340 | $8 | 26d ago |
 Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 17.02 | $0.470 | $8 | 28d ago |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.640 | $8 | 29d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.720 | $8 | 29d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.540 | $8 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.69 | $0.510 | $8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
 Will China's CPI increase by between 0.9% and 1.0% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | Aug 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 32 | $0.250 | $8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?No | buy | 11.43 | $0.700 | $8 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.1 | $0.210 | $8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.430 | $8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.430 | $8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.220 | $8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 10.39 | $0.770 | $8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 5.11 | $0.700 | $3.58 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.25 | $0.440 | $1.43 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 3.41 | $0.590 | $2.01 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Another pandemic before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.502 | $1.53 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.82 | $0.500 | $1.91 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 Week of July 27 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.620 | $1.89 | Jul 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 2.84 | $0.690 | $1.96 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 15.3 | $0.500 | $7.65 | Jul 26, 2026 |