Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 25.07 | $0.389 | $23.83 | +$14.07 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 25.07 | $0.399 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 31.98 |
| $0.469 |
| $17.11 |
| +$2.11 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 81.8 | $0.244 | $10.23 | -$9.77 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10.2 | $0.480 | $9.13 | +$4.23 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 104.2 | $0.173 | $7.87 | -$10.13 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 11.31 | $0.432 | $5.6 | +$0.71 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 17.2 | $0.581 | $2.58 | -$7.42 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.100 | $0.39 | -$0.62 |
 Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 20.83 | $0.240 | $0.01 | -$4.99 |
| buy |
| 2.29 |
| $0.437 |
| $1 |
| May 4, 2026 |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.490 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out before 2027?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 11.31 | $0.442 | $5 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | sell | 19.49 | $0.996 | $19.41 | May 4, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | sell | 4.23 | $0.940 | $3.98 | May 4, 2026 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 6.06 | $0.660 | $4 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-04?Yes | buy | 8.21 | $0.600 | $4.93 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 47.06 | $0.170 | $8 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 13.43 | $0.670 | $9 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETUp | buy | 2.78 | $0.350 | $0.97 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 61.48 | $0.244 | $15 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 35.69 | $0.200 | $7.14 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.35 | $0.081 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 65.08 | $0.241 | $15.68 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETDown | buy | 2.11 | $0.460 | $0.97 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown | sell | 3.81 | $0.460 | $1.75 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown | buy | 3.79 | $0.780 | $2.96 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.66 | $0.879 | $4.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 5.83 | $0.850 | $4.96 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.71 | $0.849 | $3.15 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 3.14 | $0.620 | $1.94 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | sell | 6.14 | $0.990 | $6.08 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.21 | $0.819 | $0.99 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 2.95 | $0.660 | $1.95 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.509 | $0.97 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ETUp | buy | 1.76 | $0.550 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | sell | 1.59 | $0.970 | $1.54 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETDown | buy | 1.57 | $0.619 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | sell | 1.82 | $0.150 | $0.27 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.79 | $0.540 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | sell | 1.93 | $0.620 | $1.2 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETUp | buy | 1.9 | $0.510 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.33 | $0.246 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 4.23 | $0.709 | $3 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown | sell | 4.64 | $0.991 | $4.6 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 2.65 | $0.730 | $1.93 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | sell | 6.14 | $0.310 | $1.9 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 3.19 | $0.609 | $1.94 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 2.87 | $0.670 | $1.92 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETDown | buy | 1.94 | $0.499 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETUp | buy | 3.5 | $0.280 | $0.98 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.640 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | sell | 7.7 | $0.860 | $6.62 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:50AM-10:55AM ETUp | buy | 1.94 | $0.499 | $0.97 | Mar 9, 2026 |