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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | No | 32.38 | $0.169 | $20.24 | +$14.76 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | May 29, 2026 |
| No |
| 10 |
| $0.720 |
| $9.55 |
| +$2.35 |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.680 | $0.9 | -$5.9 |
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.850 |
| $8.5 |
| May 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 9.99 | $0.847 | $8.46 | May 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | May 6, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | May 6, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.810 | $8.1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.480 | $9.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 10 | $0.660 | $6.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.570 | $11.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?No | buy | 20 | $0.550 | $11 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.170 | $5.1 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Starmer out by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.590 | $11.8 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.080 | $1.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.630 | $12.6 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.500 | $4.1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 18 | $0.994 | $17.89 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.950 | $5.7 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | sell | 6 | $0.996 | $5.98 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.730 | $36.5 | Jan 19, 2026 |
 Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.064 | $1.92 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 24 | $0.800 | $19.2 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?No | sell | 1.74 | $0.480 | $0.84 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Diplo run the 5k in under 21 minutes?No | sell | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jan 13, 2026 |