Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the July meeting?Yes | buy | 345.82 | $0.960 | $332 | Jul 30, 2026 |
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes| sell |
| 307.09 |
| $0.728 |
| $223.47 |
| Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | sell | 142.82 | $0.795 | $113.52 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes | buy | 449.92 | $0.859 | $386.34 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 388.72 | $0.940 | $365.39 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?Yes | buy | 365.96 | $0.932 | $341 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 344.59 | $0.991 | $341.51 | Jul 11, 2026 |
| Will the next Grok model released by xAI debut at a score of at least 1450 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 344.59 | $0.880 | $303.24 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 7?Yes | buy | 303.34 | $0.940 | $285 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision?Yes | buy | 286.48 | $0.918 | $263.11 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes | buy | 264.05 | $0.947 | $250 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 297.87 | $0.840 | $250.21 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 297.87 | $0.940 | $280 | Jun 29, 2026 |
 Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 277.48 | $0.937 | $260 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Dan Cox win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 263.56 | $0.890 | $234.57 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 853.68 | $0.950 | $811 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election?No | buy | 810.47 | $0.954 | $773 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | sell | 789.19 | $0.982 | $775.1 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?Yes | buy | 789.19 | $0.947 | $747 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 747.31 | $0.930 | $695 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 696.84 | $0.950 | $662 | May 23, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No | buy | 663.27 | $0.933 | $619 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Keisha Lance Bottoms win the 2026 Georgia Governor Democratic primary election?Yes | buy | 618.37 | $0.944 | $584 | May 17, 2026 |
 Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | sell | 741.62 | $0.798 | $591.74 | May 16, 2026 |
| Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 741.63 | $0.880 | $652.63 | May 16, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 655.81 | $0.930 | $610 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 15m and 18m?Yes | buy | 612.05 | $0.946 | $579 | May 11, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Yes | buy | 578.72 | $0.940 | $544 | May 7, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?Yes | sell | 545 | $0.999 | $544.46 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?Yes | buy | 545 | $0.943 | $514 | May 5, 2026 |
 Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?No | buy | 514.92 | $0.948 | $488 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-30?Yes | buy | 489.13 | $0.460 | $225 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end after April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 465.75 | $0.910 | $424 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 431.06 | $0.988 | $425.98 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 431.06 | $0.945 | $407.14 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | sell | 407.81 | $0.999 | $407.4 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 407.82 | $0.957 | $390.25 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 399.38 | $0.977 | $390.25 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 399.38 | $0.910 | $363.61 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Yes | sell | 341.99 | $0.960 | $328.45 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Will Fuerza Popular (FP) win the most seats in the 2026 Peruvian Senate election?Yes | buy | 377.88 | $0.918 | $346.84 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.8% or more in March?Yes | buy | 346.21 | $0.940 | $325.33 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2Dplus KIA | buy | 94.64 | $0.450 | $42.59 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Bucharest Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex MolcanGabriel Diallo | buy | 348.97 | $0.560 | $195.42 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2T1 | buy | 279.43 | $0.840 | $234.72 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will "ONE PIECE: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?Yes | buy | 437.72 | $0.823 | $360.08 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will People's Party win the most seats in the Løgting in the 2026 Faroese general election?Yes | buy | 359.78 | $0.920 | $331 | Mar 25, 2026 |
 Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | sell | 394.4 | $0.840 | $331.3 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?Yes | buy | 394.41 | $0.845 | $333.45 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral election?Yes | sell | 340.95 | $0.978 | $333.45 | Mar 23, 2026 |