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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $95.35 | +$84.35 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 100 |
| $0.520 |
| $52.5 |
| +$0.5 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | Yes | 40 | $0.138 | $16.2 | +$10.68 |
| Trump out as President before 2027? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.060 | $9.17 | -$0.83 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 340.53 | $0.150 | $5.62 | -$45.33 |
| Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | Yes | 83.33 | $0.060 | $3.75 | -$1.25 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 19.2 | $0.268 | $2.78 | -$2.35 |
 Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 59.98 | $0.250 | $2.19 | -$12.81 |
 Human moon landing in 2026? | Yes | 226.27 | $0.044 | $1.92 | -$8.08 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by October 31? | No | 1.21 | $0.580 | $0.83 | +$0.13 |
| buy |
| 83.33 |
| $0.060 |
| $5 |
| 6d ago |
 Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | sell | 19.99 | $0.800 | $15.99 | 8d ago |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?No | sell | 25.1 | $0.800 | $20.08 | 11d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.241 | $12.06 | 22d ago |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | sell | 147.31 | $0.175 | $25.75 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Japan?Yes | buy | 517.86 | $0.056 | $29 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 161.62 | $0.099 | $16 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?Yes | buy | 208.45 | $0.014 | $2.92 | May 17, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.190 | $7.6 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.150 | $9 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?Yes | buy | 22.71 | $0.140 | $3.18 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 65.22 | $0.460 | $30 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Human moon landing in 2026?Yes | buy | 226.27 | $0.044 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 49.52 | $0.202 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 100.46 | $0.160 | $16.07 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.270 | $10.26 | Apr 16, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.110 | $11 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 20.8 | $0.530 | $11.02 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?Yes | buy | 165.23 | $0.140 | $23.14 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.080 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | sell | 13 | $0.471 | $6.12 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | sell | 42.22 | $0.640 | $27.02 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?Yes | buy | 201 | $0.120 | $24.12 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?No | buy | 20.87 | $0.475 | $9.91 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | Mar 19, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?Ceasefire | buy | 60.03 | $0.500 | $30 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by March 13?No | buy | 40 | $0.430 | $17.2 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?Yes | buy | 21.17 | $0.066 | $1.4 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?No | buy | 112.5 | $0.400 | $45 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 82.22 | $0.268 | $22 | Mar 5, 2026 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?No | sell | 48.68 | $0.660 | $32.13 | Jan 9, 2026 |
| Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2026?No | buy | 48.68 | $0.380 | $18.5 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 Will Flamengo win in regular time against PSG?Yes | buy | 205.24 | $0.195 | $40 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 215.53 | $0.190 | $40.95 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by November 30?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.100 | $18 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 36.94 | $0.920 | $33.98 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Will Elon register the America Party in 2025?No | sell | 10 | $0.930 | $9.3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 42.63 | $0.160 | $6.82 | Sep 15, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 82.88 | $0.121 | $10 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.180 | $20 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?No | buy | 123 | $0.073 | $8.92 | Aug 14, 2025 |
 Will Jair Bolsonaro be arrested in Brazil by August 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes | buy | 15.91 | $0.440 | $7 | Aug 4, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be greater than 2%?No | buy | 24.78 | $0.230 | $5.7 | Jul 29, 2025 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran before September?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Jul 29, 2025 |