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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be at least 59.0 in August?No | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | 17d ago |
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| buy |
| 1.11 |
| $0.910 |
| $1.01 |
| 17d ago |
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 2.87 | $0.998 | $2.86 | 17d ago |
Will Tencent be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 3.7 | $0.999 | $3.7 | 17d ago |
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.948 | $1 | 17d ago |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.5 | $0.996 | $4.48 | 17d ago |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.61 | $0.999 | $5.6 | 17d ago |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?No | sell | 5.72 | $0.998 | $5.71 | 17d ago |
Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 11?No | buy | 6.81 | $0.999 | $6.8 | 17d ago |
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 13, 2026?No | sell | 6.97 | $0.996 | $6.94 | 17d ago |
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.900 | $1.02 | 17d ago |
Will Russia target Kyiv on August 13, 2026?No | buy | 8.01 | $0.999 | $8 | 17d ago |
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?No | sell | 8.92 | $0.998 | $8.9 | 17d ago |
Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.910 | $1.02 | 17d ago |
Will XRP dip to $0.60 in August?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | 17d ago |
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.997 | $5.21 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will claude-opus-4-6 be the best AI model on July 11, 2026?No | buy | 6.31 | $0.999 | $6.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will "Champions (IShowSpeed)" be played during the World Cup Finals Halftime Show?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on July 7?No | sell | 7.2 | $0.998 | $7.19 | Jul 6, 2026 |
T20 Blast: Lancashire vs DerbyshireLancashire | buy | 1.19 | $0.840 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 32°C on July 7?No | buy | 8.31 | $0.999 | $8.3 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 7?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.998 | $8.98 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will "Enola Holmes 3" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.13 | $0.888 | $1 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 7?Yes | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jul 6, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?No | sell | 5.94 | $0.993 | $5.9 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 16?No | buy | 7.01 | $0.998 | $7 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?Yes | sell | 8.23 | $0.998 | $8.21 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15?Yes | buy | 9.31 | $0.999 | $9.3 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?No | sell | 8.88 | $0.996 | $8.84 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Love Island USA be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 15?No | buy | 10.01 | $0.999 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
Will Yesway’s market cap be greater than $1.0B at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.979 | $1.02 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.995 | $2.02 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.999 | $3.08 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?No | sell | 3.1 | $0.995 | $3.08 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Trump out as President by April 30?No | buy | 4.15 | $0.996 | $4.13 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 4.13 | $0.998 | $4.12 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 5.17 | $0.999 | $5.17 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?No | sell | 5.2 | $0.996 | $5.18 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 24?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.999 | $6.24 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on April 23?No | sell | 6.35 | $0.997 | $6.33 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on April 23?No | buy | 7.41 | $0.999 | $7.4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.995 | $7.4 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 8.49 | $0.997 | $8.46 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will International Business Machines (IBM) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.961 | $1.03 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 22?No | sell | 9.51 | $0.998 | $9.49 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 22?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.999 | $10.58 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 10.6 | $0.998 | $10.58 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 11.64 | $0.999 | $11.63 | Apr 22, 2026 |