Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Price of dozen eggs hits $5 before April?Yes | buy | 1.16 | $0.920 | $1.07 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.36 |
| $0.940 |
| $1.28 |
| Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump impose tariffs on Brazil in the first 100 days?Yes | buy | 1.48 | $0.790 | $1.17 | Feb 11, 2025 |
 Will AfD win the second most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.780 | $1.26 | Jan 7, 2025 |
 Trump Cabinet confirmation on Day 1?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.840 | $1.11 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 US inauguration on January 20?Yes | buy | 1.33 | $0.961 | $1.28 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?Yes | buy | 1.83 | $0.690 | $1.26 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?Yes | buy | 1.68 | $0.810 | $1.36 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Another Trump Cabinet nominee withdrawn before inauguration?Yes | buy | 3.47 | $0.510 | $1.77 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump pardon a January 6 protestor in his first 100 days?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.830 | $1.78 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Mike Huckabee confirmed as ambassador to Israel?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.960 | $1.68 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.84 | $0.920 | $1.69 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Who will win Kent county?Harris | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Trump nominate Marco Rubio for Secretary of State?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.847 | $1 | Nov 13, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Project 2025"during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "border" 15 or more times during his North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Shannon Sharpe fired from ESPN?Yes | buy | 15.38 | $0.013 | $0.2 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will another company be the largest company by mcap on September 30?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.019 | $0.3 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Ukraine hold Kursk through October 31?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 $PEPE vs. $WIF - First to $10B?$PEPE | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will $BTC reach 70k before September?Yes | buy | 4.73 | $0.110 | $0.52 | Aug 26, 2024 |
 Will Kamala flip Trump on Polymarket in August?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Trump posts 20-29 times on X?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 U.S. military action against Iran by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.024 | $0.25 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before U.S. election?Yes | buy | 8.18 | $0.044 | $0.36 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Nasrallah remains leader of Hezbollah through August?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will RFK Jr. say "Endorse" during Friday address?Yes | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Aug 23, 2024 |
 Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 12.3K | $0.001 | $12.3 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Mitt Romney be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?Yes | buy | 12.1K | $0.001 | $12.1 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Gavin Newsom announce presidential run before DNC?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.016 | $0.3 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Democratic Blitz primary?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.007 | $0.3 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Kamala announce VP pick Thursday?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.040 | $0.2 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Nicolas Maduro Win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.23 | $0.811 | $1 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Tennessee Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.04 | $0.950 | $0.99 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | sell | 1.35 | $0.730 | $0.99 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Washington Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.06 | $0.945 | $1 | Aug 1, 2024 |
 Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.63 | $0.610 | $0.99 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.31 | $0.770 | $1.01 | Aug 1, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Washington Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.943 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Tennessee Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |
| Will a Republican win Arizona Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 29, 2024 |