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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 636.99 | $0.862 | $616.28 | +$67.03 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.016 | $3.2 | 17d ago |
|
| No |
| 100 |
| $0.740 |
| $84.5 |
| +$10.5 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 403.13 | $0.265 | $26.2 | -$80.63 |
 China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.860 | $4.68 | +$0.38 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15? | Yes | 200 | $0.016 | $0.7 | -$2.5 |
| buy |
| 500 |
| $0.008 |
| $4 |
| Aug 8, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.130 | $13 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.720 | $36 | Jul 22, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.760 | $38 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.413 | $12.38 | May 27, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.270 | $24.3 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.070 | $4.2 | May 27, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.250 | $15 | May 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.140 | $5.6 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.020 | $1.2 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?Yes | buy | 107.7 | $0.027 | $2.9 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.025 | $0.13 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Houthis successfully target shipping by April 30?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.082 | $4.11 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Finding Satoshi documentary identify Craig Wright as Satoshi?Yes | buy | 588.79 | $0.050 | $29.44 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.180 | $1.8 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes | buy | 36.99 | $0.060 | $2.22 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | sell | 29.85 | $0.998 | $29.79 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 33.58 | $0.998 | $33.51 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.160 | $8 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.840 | $7.56 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.510 | $5.1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.320 | $3.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.170 | $1.7 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.340 | $4.08 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 95.57 | $0.996 | $95.19 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?No | buy | 300 | $0.004 | $1.2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | sell | 100 | $0.513 | $51.3 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?No | buy | 100 | $0.516 | $51.6 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.350 | $3.5 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 129.15 | $0.996 | $128.63 | Apr 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes | buy | 56.06 | $0.180 | $10.09 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.270 | $27 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 86.1 | $0.830 | $71.46 | Apr 4, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?Yes | sell | 126.6 | $0.052 | $6.62 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes | buy | 46.88 | $0.220 | $10.31 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.670 | $67 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 36.07 | $0.610 | $22 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 7?Yes | buy | 26.6 | $0.110 | $2.93 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?Yes | buy | 56.11 | $0.190 | $10.66 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.230 | $9.2 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April?Yes | buy | 92.64 | $0.080 | $7.41 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 248.62 | $0.018 | $4.48 | Mar 31, 2026 |