Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 19.73 | $0.770 | $15.19 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.140 |
| $2.8 |
| Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 35 | $0.431 | $15.08 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.220 | $4.4 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 108.83 | $0.140 | $15.24 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 46.79 | $0.564 | $26.39 | Jun 18, 2025 |
 Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.014 | $1.05 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 46.79 | $0.315 | $14.74 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 78 | $0.186 | $14.51 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 38.56 | $0.532 | $20.51 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 38.57 | $0.421 | $16.24 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | sell | 16.27 | $0.998 | $16.24 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 16.27 | $0.598 | $9.73 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | sell | 10.02 | $0.971 | $9.73 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Jesus Christ return in 2025?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.970 | $9.72 | May 28, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?No | buy | 100 | $0.023 | $2.3 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Israel announces ceasefire by January 16?No | buy | 100 | $0.107 | $10.7 | Jan 17, 2025 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in 2024?Yes | sell | 81.94 | $0.003 | $0.21 | Dec 27, 2024 |
 Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | sell | 100 | $0.009 | $0.9 | Dec 23, 2024 |
| Will there be a US Government shutdown?No | buy | 100 | $0.006 | $0.6 | Dec 21, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.003 | $4.2 | Dec 19, 2024 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.001 | $0.2 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.001 | $0.8 | Dec 18, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Dec 17, 2024 |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?No | sell | 149.81 | $0.610 | $91.38 | Dec 17, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.009 | $1.8 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?No | buy | 110 | $0.050 | $5.5 | Dec 13, 2024 |
 Will "Kaczynski" be in the manifesto?No | sell | 16 | $0.997 | $15.95 | Dec 11, 2024 |
 Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.880 | $264 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.920 | $92 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.575 | $57.5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025?No | sell | 49.99 | $0.350 | $17.5 | Dec 8, 2024 |
| Assad leaves Syria before 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.360 | $7.2 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?No | sell | 100 | $0.990 | $99 | Dec 8, 2024 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 2.2K | $0.003 | $6.6 | Dec 4, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 200 | $0.010 | $2 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 494 | $0.010 | $4.94 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 6 | $0.011 | $0.07 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 500 | $0.011 | $5.5 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 250 | $0.010 | $2.5 | Dec 3, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 39.29 | $0.007 | $0.28 | Dec 2, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 100 | $0.003 | $0.3 | Nov 28, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 179.88 | $0.032 | $5.76 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | sell | 229 | $0.044 | $10.08 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 228.89 | $0.044 | $10 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?No | buy | 11.17 | $0.051 | $0.57 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.015 | $1.5 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.005 | $0.35 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14Yes | sell | 100 | $0.001 | $0.1 | Nov 6, 2024 |