Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?No | buy | 14.81 | $0.999 | $14.8 | 20d ago |
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| buy |
| 14.51 |
| $0.999 |
| $14.5 |
| Jul 25, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes | buy | 520 | $0.002 | $1.04 | Jul 25, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 62.5 and 63 million views in week 1?No | buy | 108.11 | $0.999 | $108 | Jun 6, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 57 million views on day 5?No | buy | 108.11 | $0.999 | $108 | Jun 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026?No | buy | 108.45 | $0.959 | $104 | Jun 3, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes | buy | 104.42 | $0.996 | $104 | May 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?No | buy | 103.31 | $0.997 | $103 | May 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets in May 2026?No | buy | 103.1 | $0.999 | $103 | May 22, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 49 and 50 million views on day 3?No | buy | 103.1 | $0.999 | $103 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?No | buy | 101.73 | $0.983 | $100 | May 15, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.51 | $0.994 | $1.5 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | May 14, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?No | buy | 101.2 | $0.998 | $101 | May 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?No | buy | 100.91 | $0.991 | $100 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 150.51 | $0.990 | $149 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?No | buy | 148.59 | $0.996 | $148 | May 1, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?No | buy | 48.52 | $0.742 | $36 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce no change at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100.1 | $0.999 | $100 | Apr 30, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?No | buy | 136.49 | $0.999 | $136.36 | Apr 26, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?No | buy | 136.36 | $0.999 | $136.23 | Apr 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026?No | buy | 135.95 | $0.958 | $130.18 | Apr 19, 2026 |
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on April 17?Yes | buy | 130.11 | $0.999 | $129.98 | Apr 17, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's latest video get between 73 and 74 million views on day 6?No | buy | 130.13 | $0.999 | $130 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?No | buy | 130.44 | $0.993 | $129.53 | Apr 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?No | buy | 127.11 | $0.999 | $126.98 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 126.38 | $0.997 | $126 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?No | buy | 125.13 | $0.999 | $125 | Mar 25, 2026 |
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.995 | $2.5 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 74 and 75 million views on day 4?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Mar 25, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?No | buy | 128.97 | $0.999 | $128.84 | Mar 20, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?No | buy | 125.78 | $0.997 | $125.4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?No | buy | 125.13 | $0.999 | $125 | Mar 12, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?No | buy | 125.13 | $0.999 | $125 | Mar 9, 2026 |
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia make no change to the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?No | buy | 125.13 | $0.999 | $125 | Mar 5, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?No | buy | 127.05 | $0.944 | $120 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?No | buy | 1.91 | $0.997 | $1.9 | Mar 3, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 121.83 | $0.985 | $120 | Feb 27, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 14 to February 16, 2026?No | buy | 121.13 | $0.978 | $118.47 | Feb 15, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?No | buy | 118.47 | $0.999 | $118.35 | Feb 10, 2026 |
Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the February 2026 meeting?No | buy | 118.35 | $0.999 | $118.23 | Feb 4, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | buy | 118.24 | $0.998 | $118 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 115.35 | $0.997 | $115 | Jan 28, 2026 |
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?Yes | buy | 1.07 | $0.938 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |