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The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | Yes | 12.19 | $0.400 | $6.4 | +$1.52 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Orlando Pirates FC win on 2026-09-01?Yes | buy | 5.43 | $0.900 | $4.89 | 7d ago |
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| No |
| 5 |
| $0.670 |
| $4.23 |
| +$0.88 |
US reissues Iran oil sanction relief by September 30? | Yes | 44.86 | $0.100 | $3.36 | -$1.12 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31? | No | 22.72 | $0.220 | $2.27 | -$2.73 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? | No | 1.59 | $0.910 | $1.59 | +$0.14 |
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 6.39 | $0.170 | $0.99 | -$0.1 |
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.210 | $0.78 | -$0.28 |
Will there be 40 or more average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30? | Yes | 5 | $0.060 | $0.14 | -$0.17 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.113 | $0.1 | -$1.25 |
| buy |
| 5.56 |
| $0.900 |
| $5 |
| 23d ago |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 5.68 | $0.950 | $5.4 | 24d ago |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 0.59 | $0.975 | $0.58 | 24d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | sell | 22.08 | $0.003 | $0.07 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.160 | $0.06 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.06 | $0.160 | $0.01 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.03 | $0.150 | $0 | 28d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.28 | $0.150 | $0.04 | 28d ago |
Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: O/U 4.5Over | buy | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.960 | $1.42 | Aug 6, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 1.48 | $0.960 | $1.42 | Aug 6, 2026 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.68 | $0.870 | $4.94 | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.46 | $0.512 | $5.87 | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.91 | $0.517 | $0.47 | Aug 5, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.501 | $0.01 | Aug 5, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | sell | 0.29 | $0.963 | $0.28 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?Yes | buy | 22.08 | $0.050 | $1.1 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Canas vs. Bertrand: Match O/U 23.5Under | sell | 5 | $0.340 | $1.7 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Canas vs. Bertrand: Match O/U 23.5Under | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.46 | $0.450 | $0.21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.34 | $0.440 | $0.15 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.07 | $0.440 | $0.03 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.18 | $0.450 | $0.08 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.32 | $0.450 | $0.59 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.44 | $0.470 | $0.21 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.01 | $0.460 | $0.46 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.89 | $0.460 | $0.41 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.42 | $0.420 | $0.18 | Aug 4, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.47 | $0.410 | $0.19 | Aug 4, 2026 |
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No | sell | 4.15 | $0.930 | $3.86 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No | sell | 0.84 | $0.910 | $0.76 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Colorado Rapids SC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Aug 2, 2026 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.570 | $2.85 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Gangwon FC vs. Bucheon FC 1995: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 5 | $0.530 | $2.65 | Aug 1, 2026 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.57 | $0.130 | $1.11 | Aug 1, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 5.43 | $0.910 | $4.94 | Aug 1, 2026 |
New York City FC vs. Toronto FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over | buy | 5.28 | $0.840 | $4.44 | Jul 31, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.66 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.3 | $0.060 | $0.14 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.060 | $0.05 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 4.03 | $0.007 | $0.03 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.007 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.36 | $0.007 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.84 | $0.007 | $0.01 | Jul 21, 2026 |
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.39 | $0.007 | $0 | Jul 21, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Yes | sell | 1.61 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Yes | sell | 0.02 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 20, 2026 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 18?Yes | sell | 9.68 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jul 20, 2026 |